Your take reminds me how self driving car boosters have been saying for the last 20 years. I know Waymo is out there driving itself IF you don’t count the operators with remote controls connected over 5G. We could achieve AGI today if you don’t count the Indian worker sitting remotely typing a response to your chat messages.
Yes. This argument is kind of pointless because it's just a simple bet. I would be very happy if the market was full of people like you--i would gladly take a huge bet on AI against it. But i guess the market is not fully in agreement with you in this matter