Yes. Realistically off by at least a magnitude. There is literally zero chance there's 1 million active developers working on this experimental Google Tech out there.

Flutter has more usage among professional devs than React Native does per stackoverflow survey https://survey.stackoverflow.co/2023/#section-most-popular-t... and statista has similar-enough numbers: https://www.statista.com/statistics/869224/worldwide-softwar...

Seeing as React Native has somewhere around 1 million active developers, Flutter almost certainly does as well.

>working on this experimental Google Tech

while I'd agree with you that 1 million is too high, Flutter certainly is not experimental Google tech. It's widely used in particular internationally. I talked to a ByteDance guy two or three years ago and I think they alone had about 1k Flutter engineers. Nubank, Alibaba, BMW, Ebay use it extensively.

Flawed metric but eyeballing VScode Extension installs, Python 140m, c# 30 mil, Go 15 mil, Flutter 10 mil. It is very, very popular.

100k seems more reasonable.

Just looked via google, and while no one really knows, common estimates of the number of web developers seem higher than that, on the order of 27 million.

Your point may still be valid, but... is 3-5% really that high?

(No dog in this, I'm not doing web development at the moment, although I have and probably will again.)