Hacker Newsnew | past | comments | ask | show | jobs | submitlogin

Trump will try to strong-arm more NATO countries, but the 2% GDP spending goal is well within reach for most NATO members.

With that said, NATO members (France, UK) have nukes. That's a line Putin can't cross.



He is not attacking them directly though, UK is pretty internally focused and won't really do much if the Ukraine operations expand and include to say other former soviet block countries.

In mainland Europe, France with La-Penne and Germany with AfD and now Sarah Wagenknecht[1] have far-right problems of their own and don't have political will for anti Russia stance so they won't be able do much either, rest of Europe are minor players or far-right governments like in Hungary under Orbàn.

[1] I refuse to call her party far left, now matter how she is described in media.


Eastern Europe countries do have more than 2% GDP - and I don't think Trump will care about that.


I guess that's the best case scenario right now. The worst case scenario is Trump pulling out of NATO completely, and (effectively or officially) allying with Russia.

I really hope I'm just not seeing all the pieces, and that such option is not even remotely viable, but it would be bad.


Regarding the last point:

I'm quite sure the US will see a military coup, in the event that Trump tries to ally with Russia and become enemies with NATO countries. I mean, I don't think it is possible for Trump to pull out of NATO. Worst case is he simply decides to shut off all funding.

Politicians are short term, military officers are life-long and ideological.




Guidelines | FAQ | Lists | API | Security | Legal | Apply to YC | Contact

Search: