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"IF"

And the opposite holds, if the AI surgeon is worse (great for 80%, but sucks at the edge cases for example) then that's it. Build a better one, go through attempts at certification, but now with the burden that no one trusts you.

The assumption, and a common one by the look of this whole thread, that ChatGPT, Sora and the rest represent the beginning of an inevitable march towards AGI seems incredible baseless to me. It's only really possible to make the claim at all because we know so little about what AGI is, that we can project qualities we imagine it would have onto whatever we have now.




Of course the opposite holds. I'll even speculate that it will probably continue to hold for the foreseeable future.

It's not going to hold forever though. I'm certain about that. Hopefully it will keep holding until I die. The world is dystopian enough already.




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