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1420 airplane departed runway 4R at about 97 knots and impacted the runway 22L approach lighting system support structure at about 83 knots.

That's a more explicit restatement of my own "likely as AA 1420 had decelerated significantly both on the runway ... and its subsequent 240 cross-terrain slide."

Jeju 2216's lack of braking authority may have resulted from a dual engine outage, possibly a consequence of pilot error, noted here:

<https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42605837>

Absent the ILS structure, the aircraft would have had ~300-500m to decelerate across largely forgiving terrain before possibly encountering fairly light structures, and ultimately bay waters, detailed here:

<https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42607464>

As I've noted already, we're waiting on investigation conclusions to understand further, though it's entertaining to speculate, and IMO somewhat more productive to look at similar events and history.




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