Yeah, I probably should summarize my whole comment with:
It's not really about the current crisis in Gaza. What they want is a seat at the table to influence future policy.
They believe they won't get it with Republicans. If they voted for Harris, they know they won't get it with the Democrats either. Their only hope for a seat at the table in the future is by hurting the Democrats now.
But as I said - they probably didn't hurt the Democrats much, so all of it won't matter in the near future.
> But as I said - they probably didn't hurt the Democrats much, so all of it won't matter in the near future.
This is probably what we disagree on. The raw Muslim vote was probably not enough to matter anywhere besides maybe MI (and Harris needed way more states to win). But the "allies" and depressed turnout caused by lowered enthusiasm esp in Gen-Z and below IMO could've swung more states than just MI. She might've still lost, but it would have been a lot closer.
Regardless, it's still the only lever the Gaza people had to pull, so they pulled it. It was that or pulling nothing at all, which they thought was a worse option.
> But the "allies" and depressed turnout caused by lowered enthusiasm esp in Gen-Z and below IMO could've swung more states than just MI. She might've still lost, but it would have been a lot closer.
I'm not saying you're wrong. I'm saying I haven't seen any good polls/studies to indicate this is true. At the moment it sounds more like wishful thinking.
It's not really about the current crisis in Gaza. What they want is a seat at the table to influence future policy.
They believe they won't get it with Republicans. If they voted for Harris, they know they won't get it with the Democrats either. Their only hope for a seat at the table in the future is by hurting the Democrats now.
But as I said - they probably didn't hurt the Democrats much, so all of it won't matter in the near future.