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I don't see it, instead of 100 GPUs running the AIs we have today, we'll have 100 GPUs running the AI of the future. NVIDIA wins either way. It won't be 50 GPUs running the AI of today.





All other things being equal, less demand means lower profits. Even if demand still outstrips supply, it's still less demand expected than a month ago.

If the demand is for reaching AGI then we'll still need all the GPUs NVIDIA can sell, we'll just get there faster thanks to DeepSeek.

Bearish argument: "How can we adapt you to run on 8,000,000 NVidia GPUs instead of 80,000,000?"

That probably won't be the first question we ask AGI if/when we ever get there, but it will be near the top of the list.


Nvidia is already doing that.

What needed 1000k of Voltas, needed 100k of Amperes, needed 10k of Hopper, will need 1k of Blakwell.

Nvidia has increased compute by a factor of 1 million in the past decade and it's no where near enough.

Blackwell will increase training efficiency in large clusters a lot compared to Hopper and yet it's already sold out because even that won't be enough.




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