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Then there might be a “DeepSeek” moment.



Yes, but just throwing in the possibility of a future unexpected breakthrough without grouding this in the situation so far, can lead to wishful thinking. The fact that the list has 5 independent points means that you need 5 independent breakthroughs, making it even less likely to happen in the short term.


For a DeepSeek moment, the west would first have to produce a functional, but Wildly expensive fusion reactor. Then someone else could ask the reactor questions over and over until they understand well enough how the reactor works.


The DeepSeek moment for nuclear power might be accelerator-driven subcritical reactors that make fission plants much simpler and safer (and therefore cheaper, the key element of DeepSeek moment) by never having a critical mass of fuel in the reactor - criticality is only possible when a particle accelerator is illuminating the core, and the accelerator can just be turned off.


Helion are saying they may have commercial energy shortly although no one really believes them.


Some people make bizarre claims they're a scam, but (in addition to being libelous) that's as unsupportable as claiming now they will succeed.

My position is they're the least dubious of all the fusion efforts, and have a very clever design that offers the plausible possibility of avoiding some of the engineering and economic showstoppers confronting DT fusion. Of course no pudding can be eaten before it's cooked, and no reactor design can be counted on before it's proved.




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