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I wouldn't even put the odds of him coming back at 50%

20: He gets brought back in good condition, 19-16: He is gonna get brought back in terrible condition, 15-11 he doesn't come back, 10-1 he is dead



Note that I said "even" and "less than ten". Even ignoring damage he's already suffered in the prison, the "good outcomes" are still only 30% (10, 12, 14, 16, 18, 20).




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