The main culprit behind the hype of the AI revolution is a lack of understanding of its true nature and capabilities. We should know better, Eliza demonstrated decades ago how easily we can be fooled by language, this is different and more useful but we rely so much on language fluency and knowledge retrieval as a proxy for intelligence that we are fooled again.
I am not saying this is a nothing burger, the tech can be applied to many domains and improve productivity, but it does not think, not even a little, and scaling won’t make that magically happen.
Anyone paying attention should understand this fact by now.
There is no intelligence explosion in sight, what we’ll see during the next few years is a gradual and limited increase in automation, not a paradigm change, but the continuation of a process that started with the industrial revolution.
I am not saying this is a nothing burger, the tech can be applied to many domains and improve productivity, but it does not think, not even a little, and scaling won’t make that magically happen.
Anyone paying attention should understand this fact by now.
There is no intelligence explosion in sight, what we’ll see during the next few years is a gradual and limited increase in automation, not a paradigm change, but the continuation of a process that started with the industrial revolution.