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>that LLM's will decisively outperform human capabilities in myriad domains.

Do your LLMs outperform you at your tasks?

If not, were they to become more expensive by a non negligible margin, would you at any cost keep using them in their curent state?





It doesn't have to, it just has to outperform humans on some tasks. Often really simple tedious tasks. Take this whole discussion out of the context of AI and instead look at it as just a machine. Machines outperform humans at all sorts of things, that's why we built them. Your dishwasher outperforms a human because it can wash your dishes on demand for pennies while a human taking that task from you would demand $15/hr. My car vastly outperforms my legs at getting me places. Email outperforms the USPS for correspondence. I don't know if there's a limit to the side of HN comments but I could hit it if I continued. These LLMs are a new tool that can perform tasks autonomously that couldn't be done before, and that's super cool. For some reason people get swept up in the mystique of it all and expect them to replace a human, body and soul, at every task which is kinda silly when discussing an advanced washing machine.

I mentionned this in an other comment, but I wholeheartedly agree - tools are great.

I've used a sandblasting machine to do in 3 minutes what would've taken me easily two days of hand scraping. With maybe 4 mins of training. It's absolutely undeniable how efficient the tool is.

Can you show me something concrete that's comparable with AI/LLMs?

In the order of 900-1000x efficiency - like comparing your legs to your car, you know?


It doesn’t have to be as performant nor fast. It can work and iterate alone when setup properly. All time spent is purely bonus. It is already inevitable.

"it's gonna outperform us!"

Into "It's not as good as us at any tasks but it can do menial things on the side when set up properly!"

Into "LLMs are one of the techologies that exist, like autocorrection and CAD"


> "LLMs are one of the technologies that exist, like autocorrection and CAD"

Pretending it's on par with these. No need for more. Seem inevitable enough.




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