More work, without a doubt - any productivity gain immediately becomes the new normal. But now with an additional "2%" error rate compounded on all the tasks you're expected to do in parallel.
I do this kind of job and there is no way I am doing this job in 5-10 years.
I don't even think it is my company that is going to adapt to let me go but it is going to be an AI first competitor that puts the company I work for out of business completely.
There are all these massively inefficient dinosaur companies in the economy that are running digitized versions of paper shuffling and a huge number of white collar bullshit jobs built on top of digitized paper shuffling.
Wage inflation has been eating away at the bottom line on all these businesses since Covid and we are going to have a dinosaur company mass extinction event in the next recession.
IMO the category error being made is that LLMs are going to agentically do digitized paper shuffling and put digitized paper shufflers out of work. That is not the problem for my job. The issue is agentically from the ground up making the concept of digitized paper shuffling null and void. A relic of the past that can't compete in the economy.
I don't know why everyone is so confident that jobs will be lost. When we invented power tools did we fire everyone that builds stuff, or did we just build more stuff?
if you replace "power tools" with industrial automation it's easy to cherry pick extremes from either side. Manufacturing? a lot of jobs displaced, maybe not lost.
That would be analogous to RPA maybe, and sure that has eliminated many roles. But software development and other similarly complex ever changing tasks have not been automated in the same way, and it's not even close to happening. Rote repetitive tasks with some decision making involved, probably on the chopping block.
