This may be, but not, I think, in a way that is particularly worth modeling?
When we try to model something probabilistically, it is usually not a great idea to model the probability that we made an error in our probability calculations as part of our calculations of the probability.
Ultimately, we must act. It does no good to suppose that “perhaps all of our beliefs are incoherent and we are utterly incapable of reason”.
When we try to model something probabilistically, it is usually not a great idea to model the probability that we made an error in our probability calculations as part of our calculations of the probability.
Ultimately, we must act. It does no good to suppose that “perhaps all of our beliefs are incoherent and we are utterly incapable of reason”.