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Spotify loses $59.1 million on $244.5 million in revenue (hypedsound.com)
77 points by Hates_ on Oct 6, 2012 | hide | past | favorite | 91 comments


I'm a huge Spotify fan. In fact, I love it so much that I haven't purchased a song from iTunes in months. That alone should speak volumes about their position in the industry - I can't be alone here, and that means that for some significant portion of people, money has stopped going to Apple for music and now goes to Spotify.

But here's the thing -- Spotify is too cheap. Their service is amazing and far, far too inexpensive relative to what they provide. They provide a bulk of their service for free, and people like me who want a bit more pay $10 a month.

To get access to 5,000 songs via iTunes would cost me (roughly) $5000 -- and people are willing to pay it. That's 500 months of Spotify (42 years!) subscription to generate the same amount of revenue.

So while I agree that music licensing costs, particular for radio-like services like Pandora, need to go down to be more in line with broadcast rates, I don't think that's what's hurting Spotify here. I think they're providing far too much value for what they get paid.


As mentioned elsewhere in this thread, I think spotify have positioned themselves exactly to be in this situation. If they earn more money, the music labels still have all the negotiating power and will just take it, and if they raise their prices, less subscribers.

At a guess, I think spotify are trying to squeeze themselves into a position where the labels need spotify because otherwise artists just will not have the same reach otherwise, I know I dont listen to a band until they put their stuff on spotify. I have seen labels + bands be more reactive to making sure their stuff hits spotify quickly which seems to show a shift in power, hopefully the trend continues.


The challenge then is to make money but appear to lose it, this appeases the music labels who think they are taking all the value off the table.

It seems we need a tech company that can do 'hollywood accounting' where they give the labels 40% of the 'net' and sadly there is no net.


From a musician's perspective the entire problem with Spotify is that its replacing sales and yet its paying broadcast performance royalties.

Broadcast has always been promotion for sales. That's how you sell recordings: you get it on radio. Spotify looks and acts like iTunes. Its replacing the user need for purchasing, its not replacing radio. And yet they want to pay like radio.

So they've disrupted digital sales and cannibalized an industry in doing so.

Oh I know .. we can always go sell t-shirts at our gigs. until the kids figure out how to 3d print those.


A lot of people seem to compare the earnings from one listening on spotify to the sale of a single...

Thing is, you have no idea how often that single is played. If the customer are crazy about it the musician would most likely earn more if he listened through spotify rather than buying it. If on the other hand the customer gets bored of it quickly the musician would barely get anything through spotify.

Also, one listening doesn't equal to a lost sale. Especially considering how easy (and wonderful) it is to just be able try new stuff out when there is no barrier or cost associated with it.

Musicians get waay more money from me thanks to spotify than they ever would get otherwise. And I bet there is a whole generation where this is/will be quite common.

There are winners and loser though, those artists that make songs that only last two weeks probably loose on spotify. I see that as a bonus.


And that's the problem: You, as a listener, think you're doing the noble thing by using spotify instead of pirating, but it really doesn't matter if those two are the only options you'd consider.

Of course you're on the legal site of music consumption now, but don't fool yourself into thinking that artists should be well off thanks to you.

Well known by now, but have a look at this infographic again: http://www.informationisbeautiful.net/2010/how-much-do-music...

I admit I'm a rdio subscriber and artist, but rdio, for me, just serves as a tastemaker, pre-listening source and mobile collection without limited space - everything I like, I buy elsewhere in lossless formats. Sadly, I guess that's a rather rare use of streaming services as people will often see them as a replacement to buying things they enjoy.


No, the problem is the record labels. They are the ones that hinder artist revenue from services such as spotify.

I don't consider pirating and yes, if spotify (and all similar services) were shut down and I were forced to buy albums on CDs the artists would get much less money from me.

Also remember that the day I end my spotify subscription I have nothing to show for it. I've spend many hundreds of dollars on spotify and the day I stop paying I will not have a single track to show for it.

How many people actually constantly buys music every month? A monthly spotify subscription isn't much per month but it adds up.


> If the customer are crazy about it the musician would most likely earn more if he listened through spotify rather than buying it.

Estimates vary, but $0.0033 is quoted as a possible pay per stream from Spotify. I had some plays on one invoice from a label but it was less than a penny. [for comparison: I've gotten $75 for a single play on BBC]

So for a 99 cent track you would get 300 plays for that price. That means 10 times a day for 30 days if you are really crazy about it (you are either a teenage girl or you are trying to piss off your neighbors). Or 3 times a day for 100 days. Or 10 times a year for 30 years (let's just guess that its highly unlikely that you are still on Spotify or that you are using the same mp3)

[edit: calculator fail]

For a 5 minute song that's 1500 minutes of stereophonic pleasure. 25 hours.

Let's assume you bought the entire album. 10 tracks. That's 250 hours total listening time.

This is what you'll have to do in order for the artist to earn the same amount as your $9.99 album purchase would have brought in.

> Musicians get waay more money from me thanks to spotify than they ever would get otherwise.

By which I'm guessing that you aren't a music collector and you didn't really buy music anyway.

Purchasing music, especially vinyl or nicely crafted packaged CDs is about building a collection that expresses who you are. People come over and you get out the records. They look through your CD or record shelf while they are at your place. This ritual is how people connect, find out about the other person and it opens up conversations. That era is gone.

Digital weakened that and selling digital is just a fake simulation of the era of buying physical recordings. We know its dead, it was transitory and the era of replication is over. Its not just the economics, its abundance.

Still, buying music (even if its a dead art form) is not to obtain a utility value. Its purchasing a signifier of self identity.

I've had Spotify beta since 2008 and I've loved going through the massive back catalogs and listening to stuff. It was insane how much music they loaded into the system back then. Once they opened it up to the public they had to axe most of it when they couldn't get deals with the labels.


You (and thirdsum), as well as most others, make the other big mistake and looks at what the artist makes. Which is kind of irrelevant. Look at what the record label is making from spotify streaming.

Also I don't get your BBC-comparison, did BBC broadcast it to one person?

Spotify can hardly be blamed for the artist having a crappy deal with his/her record label.

And the reason for why it is sooo bad is of course because it hasn't matured yet. But the only problem in the equation is the record labels.

The reason for why I didn't buy albums was because I didn't enjoy listening to albums. I enjoy listening to tracks and I don't feel like buying twenty when I only like two of them.

It doesn't help that buying an album and having it in my shelf "says something about who I am" when I really didn't want the album to begin with.

Not to mention how inconvenient a pressed CD is for someone like me.


> the other big mistake and looks at what the artist makes.

Actually I'm calculating only what the rights holder gets and doing the comparison between sales and streaming income.

Its completely irrelevant to the discussion what the artist/label deal is, only what the spotify|iTunes/payee deal is.

> Spotify can hardly be blamed for the artist having a crappy deal with his/her record label.

No, the stated payout rates are what the rights holder receives. That is the publishing company or sound recording copyright holder which is usually but not always the label. In many cases indie labels are owned by the artists. I get 100%

I'm not fond of this demonization of the labels as though they were the whole problem. The music industry has gone through dramatic changes and its not really useful to try to identify a bad guy. The musicians certainly are getting fucked though, that's always how it goes.

> Also I don't get your BBC-comparison, did BBC broadcast it to one person?

But that's the thing: a Spotify streaming play requires a large number of people to actively select to listen to your track. Radio plays to a huge number of people who are mostly passive (after they've selected to listen to the radio or not). Its vastly more difficult to achieve that kind of focused high traffic streaming income in the super fragmented world of streaming.

So comparing the payout rate to broadcast royalty rates IS completely irrelevant, yet that is what everybody is doing and that's basically how the payouts are being calculated.

And yet its sales that they are replacing. For the user its play on demand. It looks like iTunes. I pulled up tracks the other night on Spotify while making dinner for my girlfriend. Its just like owning the tracks.

So for the rights holder its an awful disruption.

> And the reason for why it is sooo bad is of course because it hasn't matured yet. But the only problem in the equation is the record labels.

Because Spotify was designed as an alternative to P2P/piracy. So the price point is in comparison to that, not in competition with sales. Its accidental that its cannibalizing sales, and in fact Spotify would love to be resulting in large amounts of sales (with their buy buttons). The problem is that the music is available on demand, so the incentive to buy is very low.

> The reason for why I didn't buy albums was because I didn't enjoy listening to albums. I enjoy listening to tracks and I don't feel like buying twenty when I only like two of them.

iTunes disrupted that back in 2001, so I would say that's pretty irrelevant to the Spotify vs. digital sales discussion.


Numbers for an iTunes single: Best case is generally an indie artist who has a 50/50 split with their label. So for an iTunes single, the label gets at most $0.70 (and if they use an aggregator then say $0.63). Divide by two and you are at $0.32-0.35/track. So basically you need to divide all of your equivalence numbers by 3. Instead of 300 plays, it's one hundred plays. 3 times a day for ~30 days or once a day for one hundred days.


statements like this are exactly the reason why people have zero sympathy for the music (and movie) industries. In the real world, products are worth as much as people are willing to pay for them, not whatever the hell you want to charge. Spotify isn't cheating you out of anything. You are getting paid what the market has deemed your content is worth. If you don't like it, take your songs off spotify.


No, its not a price point that the market resolved.

Its not like a moving company that has a businesses with costs and then they compete with other identical businesses and test the customers and have a price discovery phase and then arrive at a price.

Spotify is a solution to the environment of widespread P2P/piracy.

The people were offered a price: $0 on Napster/Limewire/Oink. They accepted the offer. Great, the market has spoken; that's what the content is deemed to be worth. Its worthless. Its worthless because it is possible to obtain it without paying for it.

In any industry whatsoever if you offer a price of $0 then people will take it. Try offering beer for $0 — maybe you can support it with advertising ;)

The price point that Spotify is offering is in competion with piracy. That's why it is so low.

> If you don't like it, take your songs off spotify.

Why would I do that ? I love Spotify. There is no income in it for me as a rights holder, but there's no benefit for me to remove it. [I am far more likely to remove my music from iTunes actually. its just not a good look, there are better digital stores]

I think they have great intentions and want desperately to make this new economy work. They cannot just raise the price (they would love to) because they could kill the whole thing and sales would drop off. They are losing money in order to keep this thing going.

What I said was that its use for the user is to replace sales; but the payment and pricing (in and out) are like that of broadcast.

Its a very unfortunate disruption.

> Spotify isn't cheating you out of anything.

sigh. people are so binary when discussing this stuff. Its more complicated. It would be nice if people weren't so hostile and always trying to identify a bad guy to blame everything on.


^This a million times. I'm so sick of all the irrelevant arguments made by ALL the parties involved. There is only ONE product type that can hold an artificially high value for any extended period of time; a status symbol. By definition status symbols are impossible on any digital medium. THEREFORE, stay off the internet or follow economics. I will respect either choice. I will laugh at anyone that expects to get the benefit of both without the cost of the either.


I know the part about t-shirts is a joke, but you can print your own with stuff bought at Home Depot and in a DIY setup the cost is roughly 3$, being the most expensive stuff the t-shirt and the paint.


Conversely, I hardly listen to music and bought maybe 10 CDs in my entire life. Spotify changed my behavior dramatically. I consume a lot more music now, that I wouldn't have otherwise. Spotify has got more money out of me than the sum of all my other music related spending. It's very possible I am an outlier though.


I disagree on it being priced too low. I realize that in some sense, they have to play to cards they are dealt by the labels - but 10 bucks a month is far too much for streaming music. If Netflix can stream unlimited HD video for 8 bucks a month, there's no (technical) reason audio should be more expensive than that. The only thing holding them back is the politics of the music industry. IMO, a fair price point for streaming audio has to be < 5 bucks a month at the high end. The marginal cost of a song being streamed is basically zero at technical level.


I knew someone would mention Netflix for comparison -- the problem is that I think they're too inexpensive as well :)

Mind you, as a consumer I'm not complaining about low prices. It's awesome. But I'm also mindful of the economics --

I pay $50+ / month for my cable TV subscription. I don't like it. I'm not "happy" about it. But you know what -- I haven't cancelled it yet either, so something's keeping me there -likely the 'flip channels' factor, which is nice and brainless, and the availability of live news - MSNBC, CNN, local news, etc. Sometimes you just want to sit down and turn the TV on, and I'm willing to pay for that.

But the point remains that there's a big gap between $9.99 Spotify / $8 Netflix and $50-$100 cable, both of which many people are willing to pay for.


You're confusing cost with value.


I'm aware of the distinction - but in this case - to me at least - the cost and the value are the same. The value of streaming songs is exceptionally minimal when they are easily acquired for free via other means. The only value add in my mind is the convenience of not having to download albums in the first place. The value of that convenience is tied very closely to the cost of providing it as I could set up my own streaming service for personal use "at cost" so to speak with a cheap vps and a collection of downloaded music - or use something like iTunes match which costs ~$2.00 a month, if I'm willing to put forth the effort to acquire the music initially.


If Netflix had almost every new movie release and a larger catalog maybe it would be an apples to apples comparison.


Spotify has to pay royalties on every song play, which adds up extremely quickly considering you can just leave it running all day without even listening to it (like I do accidentally almost every day). There's not particularly an easy way to just "leave Netflix on".


I've experienced the service differently. I'm more old school. Spotify does not give me the feeling to be the master of my library and that this music belongs to me.

I'm more happy with buying albums I love and archiving them. So, I'm looking forward to the new iTunes, I hope it combines the old way with the new way in new ways.

But Spotify has to work more on discoverability of new artists and music. I'm not convinced by there app.


It doesn't have to be mutually exclusive... I collect records and digital files, but when I'm away from my collection - whether it be at work, on the go, in the car - I've been making use of Spotify.

The library is really good, and the app itself is quite nice. It has this amazing thing called QUEUING (iTunes - I'm looking at you) and the social aspect of it is actually pretty useful. You can search playlists for anything from "Jazz for dummies" to "Breaking Bad soundtrack" and sure enough, somebody will have gone through the trouble of assembling a really high quality mix from the Spotify library.

So no, Spotify obviously isn't going to give you the same feeling as physically collecting music releases. It doesn't try to.

I will add that I do have a few negatives surrounding Spotify. I think it is a pretty poor music discoverability tool (outside of searching for social playlists to subscribe to). The radio is very poor, and some of the tagging/cataloguing of their vast collection leaves a bit to be desired.


Spotify helps you be 'master of your library' by putting a file icon next to songs you have locally. It's pretty much telling you exactly what you need to download for 'backup.'


Maybe for you. So maybe they should come up with an additional tier to grab some of your consumer surplus.

But for me? I compare it to the $30/year I pay Pandora. I have a Pandora app in my car, on my TV, on every phone and computer, etc. It's ubiquitous and the fact that I can't pick a specific song is meaningless to me. In fact, I like it much better. I can work and live my life and not have to spend a single second worrying about playlists and song selection.

Lately I've really liked the rebooted Songza.com -- it's curated playlists vs Pandora's algorithm-driven model. The playlists are great and the activity-centric UI is pretty awesome too.


If you like Songza check out http://8tracks.com too.


Disagree that the price is too low. I think its sitting right at the top of what most are willing to pay.

I think of it like this: for 10 bucks a month, every month I have Spotify, I could have owned an album on one of my playlists. After 2-3 years, I basically own nothing, when I could have owned most of the music I listen to. Most of the people I've introduced Spotify to are on a similar wavelength.

On top of that, the idea that Spotify may not be around in a year or two add's even more hesitance on my part to keep the $10 subscription.

I really hope it all works out for them (and us).


Interesting usecase. I probably like listening to about 10-20% music a day that I have never heard before. Every 2-3 years, I am basically still only listening to 5% of the music I did like in that time period. So the musical "churn" for me is high where ownership is essentially meaningless. But I can see how someone with a different set discovery needs/wants would have a very different sense for the product.


That's exactly how I listen to music too. I've got a very small selection of albums I've listened to throughout my life and other than them my music churn has always been as high as possible, though typically a great album lasts a month or 2.


Do you really want to own all your music?

Rhetorically, it sounds like an obvious "yes", but if I personally think back to all the stuff I got as a teenager and hardly ever listen to anymore, not owning it might be entirely fine.

Ownership is less of a burden when there's no physical media, of course, and there's still some old music everyone keeps coming back to. But a lot of music is ephemeral, and only having access to it when it's current might not be so bad.


"I could have owned most of the music I listen to"

If you're only listening to 24-36 albums in 2-3 years than yeah you could have and maybe you should have. If you listen to that much in a month or sometimes a week than Spotify is by far the best thing ever.


Spotify isn't just competing with iTunes, they're competing with piracy. And while $10 a month is nothing compared to maintaining a comprable iTunes collection, it's a lot compared to free.

I think $10 is the sweet spot. I used to be a fairly big music pirate (what.cd elite, if that means anything to anybody), and RDIO at $10/month has completely replaced my whole illegal music collection. If it were more than that, i'd probably start thinking about whether it was worth the money or not, but at $10/mo i don't even think about it.


I do not consider the hidden tax of forcing me to use my facebook account worth it. That's not cheap; it's merely a different kind of currency.

Edit: I am mistaken; they allow users wihtout facebook accounts to sign up now (see elsewhere in the thread)


Pretty sure music license "negotiations" involve asking "How much?" and receiving the reply "How much ya'got?"


Yep, sounds like that's exactly it.

“Virtually every new dollar of revenue went directly to music companies as royalty payments, evidencing the fact that the more members Spotify adds, the more money the company loses. In almost a one-for-one scenario, every dollar Spotify is generating immediately exits the company due to licensing fees.”

This predatory relationship has to stop if the record companies want to exist at all in the future. I don't think they realize that they're pointing the gun at their own foot.


Their goal is to stripmine music startups as a revenue strategy. They'd rather have the companies there as an alternative to piracy, but they don't want them to have any power at all, so they string them along and siphon as much investment as they can.


>This predatory relationship has to stop if the record companies want to exist at all in the future.

There is a lot demand for their product. It's not like people are switching to something else. People still want Lady Gaga and the Beatles.


> This predatory relationship has to stop if the record companies want to exist at all in the future.

If I had to gamble on who would be around in 10 years, Spotify or the labels, sad to say but my money would be on the labels.


I don't think the parent was claiming that Spotify would necessarily outlive the record labels, but rather some new paradigm for music recording/distribution would disrupt the label's current stranglehold.


I think the scene is more akin to someone hanging the victim upside down and shaking him until all his money falls out. Then before he leaves he takes the victim's asthma inhaler and then kicks the victim's dog for good measure.

SEE YOU AT SCHOOL TOMORROW SPOTIFY


The easy answer to this is to raise prices. We need to raise the price of digital goods if we want to move forward as a post-industrial society. I pay $36 a year for Pandora, I would pay $72. $3 a month is an insanely good deal. Before Napster I would easily spend $30 a month on music. Society needs more money in artists hands, because the robots are coming to take away more jobs, and we can offset some of that by reducing the labor supply by allowing more people to earn a living creating digital goods.

Many of you will say that most aren't good enough to be pro artists. I say that so many more would become good enough through deliberate practice if financial viability wasn't nigh impossible.

Capitalism as we know it will not survive zero-priced digital goods, robotics and other forms of automation. Deflation is a specter over all our heads.

Wise nations will look for ways to reduce the supply of labor, instead of an insane push for ever higher employment levels.


Without going near your comments on Capitalism, I don't think Spotify's situation is as clear-cut as you do. Why would I pay $20, $15, or even $11, when I can get the exact same service from at least a dozen other companies for $10/month or less? (Rhapsody, Zune, Slacker, Rdio, etc.)

If they raise prices at all, they're likely to lose a significant number of subscribers. If they raise prices and somehow keep those subscribers, the record companies may very well just milk them for the difference in increased licensing costs.


All of the other companies need to pay licensing costs as well, and I believe the current licensing costs are unsustainably low.

In the early years of the internet everyone got very excited about free. Free music, movies, and information. I think that right now society is collectively learning the same lesson so many developers have learned and posted about here. Free customers are the worst customers. Charge more. Inflation is virtuous. Deflation is a downward spiral into the abyss.


Spotify should make it so they can make deals directly with artists and then promote them in their store, kind of like how Amazon is doing with its self-publishing platform. They are big enough now for this to work. The problem is they most likely got forced into signing a non-compete clause with the labels, and they took that deal. So now they can't do that anymore, which makes them completely dependent on the labels in the foreseeable future, and the labels can keep asking for 98% of their revenue.

And next time the labels brag about supporting innovations like Spotify (like when they did when they wanted to pass SOPA), remind them that they are what's killing innovations like Spotify, and these services usually achieve success despite them.


No artist signed to a major label can do deals outside of that deal. The whole point of their signing is that they have an exclusive deal with the label.

So while Spotify could go direct to some artists, none of the big ones can make that kind of deal.


They don't have to take all the big ones immediately. Just start a trend, and some of the big ones might join later once their contracts with the labels expire. They probably wouldn't be able to put their old songs there, but they could the new ones.


Well, they can do that. See the first answer here: http://www.spotify.com/uk/work-with-us/labels-and-artists/ar...


Ouch. Net revenue margins at 2%. There's more top line margin in farming.

Makes me wonder if there isn't an antitrust case here somewhere. Feels highly predatory by music license holders.


Farming isn't a growth bet. Spotify could break even by increasing their prices/fees by 25% or by reducing their overhead by the same amount. My guess is that either would be an easy option if their goal was short term profits. This represents a high burn rate for sure, but it's not inherently problematic.

That doesn't mean that the content licenses aren't predatory, just that I don't see the relevance of that argument.


> Spotify could break even by increasing their prices/fees by 25% or by reducing their overhead by the same amount.

It's not obvious this is the case. If the record companies see Spotify increasing their revenue, they may just demand higher fees.

That's the crux of the problem here. Spotify need the record companies, but the record companies don't need Spotify. For now the record companies are squeezing Spotify for all their revenue, but it's no trouble to them if Spotify goes out of business. It's a tiny revenue stream for most of these companies.


> Spotify need the record companies, but the record companies don't need Spotify. For now the record companies are squeezing Spotify for all their revenue, but it's no trouble to them if Spotify goes out of business.

I suspect Spotify knows this, and is betting on getting too big to fail before the record companies push them under.


I guess that is the strategy they are playing, but I can't help thinking Spotify are going to be in a weak position no matter how large they are.

Fundamentally, the service they offer is not particularly difficult to replicate. They take music and stream it to users, supported by either advertising or a monthly subscription.

They act as a middle man that the big three record labels could easily cut out, and at the same time these labels can effectively pull the plug on Spotify at their convenience.

Without the music library, Spotify is nothing.


I'd say farming is the quintessential growth bet. : P

Most of the overhead would seem to be royalties, so reducing them by 25% may not be an option. The revenue is also determined by ad market rates, which can be cyclical, and is out of their control.


Do you really think the labels wouldn't increase their price by 25% then? They already think they get way too little money from these services. That's why they're taking all the money they can get. If Spotify increases the monthly price to $20, the labels would probably ask for $19.5 of it.


Is high burn rate really a good idea for a company like Spotify? They have been around since 2006. Not exactly in the heart of pizza-consuming startupland any longer. If they aren't able to be profitable now, they have a big problem.


Wanted to try them out, but they restrict their signups to Facebook only... What the heck?



Since recently you can register again without a facebook account. You just have to scroll down. (https://www.spotify.com/nl/signup/open/)


I would suggest people not in the netherlands not click that link as it sets your language preference and you need to go searching for the language switcher :P


It used to be just email but when Facebook promoted their open graph integration heavily they made it Facebook signups. Probably some deal they made with Facebook.


Every single time Spotify is mentioned in the tech community, this happens....


That's really a shame. I hope they can turn things around somehow. I've quickly become a rabid fan of Spotify; I'd happily pay more for the service if it meant it would be financially sound.


Paying more isn't going to do much. It looks like they're losing because of insane licensing costs. Paying more means more goes to the music companies.


I agree, but I don't think it will be necessary to pay radically more. I was actually happy to see they did $57m losses on $250m revenues; even happier when I saw that a large sum of the loss was the new staff.

Worry not, because, in my opinion; Spotify is here to stay and is solving a problem that is certainly worth solving.

Its the combination of several factors:

A previous commenter stated that Spotify is not only competing for iTunes' money, but with piracy too. I agree; they're converting a client that was worth $0.00 over their lifetime (as well as those who 'pirated and then purchased', etc) into paying the artist per listen. That's absolutely radical.

The $20m increase in staffing is a direct product of this vision. The new staff is hard at work at making Spotify available on as many platforms, as beautifully as possible, with as many artists and in as many countries as possible.

The price, whether it be $9.99 or $12.45, won't be the problem, pricing can be fixed later with more data.

The only danger Spotify faces is the resistance it is facing in 'the rest of the world', where there may be entrenched local media companies with distribution rights, or local music/label representatives may be weary of the payment model. That would limit their scale, and Spotify needs scale to work.

... thank god for the $100m Sean Parker found for Spotify, and for the X billions more he can sway for it as well. I'd bet on Spotify today more than ever, it may be a long bet, but we haven't seen such a successful contender in this category since iTunes.

Spotify is an A+ example of what every other startup with 1/100th of the business plan or cojones is trying to do: Spotify is aiming to become a billion dollar company, and I congratulate them for that.

The music industry is worth spending tens, hundreds, even thousands of millions to fix/disrupt/change/make better.


They have to turn things around. I don't think I could go back to life without Spotify.


As long as Rdio isn't in the same boat, we'll be OK.


AFAIK all the streaming music services face this problem. The record companies demand so much off them that they barely break even.


'So much'? You honestly think an artist/label getting $0.003 per play is 'so much'? What world do you live on. At least with iTunes if say 1000 fans your track, you'll get at least $500 from the sales. But if those same 1000 just streamed the track from Spotify, they'd each have to play the track 166 times to get the same royalties.


You honestly think an artist/label getting $0.003 per play is 'so much'?

Yes. And this sense of entitlement is getting on my nerves.

The cost of music distribution has gone from infinite to ZERO in just about 130 years. This is a great achievement for us as a species and we should adapt accordingly instead of bemourning expired business models.

The music industry was constructed around the bottleneck of physical media distribution. This bottleneck does not exist anymore.


Sorry, that's not what I meant. I meant that the record companies ask for enough money that the company can stay in business but so much that they make a big profit.

Personally I think the amount artists get paid by streaming services is wrong. $0.003 and even less per stream is what I've seen but we also must remember that artists signed to the major labels get paid a much higher cut due to deals they make with the streaming services. I think the services would work best if artists/labels could opt-in and the price per stream was fixed for all artists ($0.02 per play seems fair to me).


Can you support the $0.003 figure? I've seen widely different figures in a few faces.


I've seen financial reports from an independent artist (distributing through CDBaby). Here's the figures:

Spotify: $0.0022 Deezer: $0.0022 LastFM: $0.0005 iTunesMatch: $0.003

These vary very slightly from time to time but iTunes Match has regularly been the highest.


It varies by month, by country, and by record label. So it's hard to give an exact figure for every artist. $0.003 is on the top end of the scale though.


Last I heard Rdio is in acquisition talks with Microsoft so it seems like they're absolutely in a similar boat. http://thenextweb.com/insider/2012/10/03/rumor-microsoft-is-...


Same, been using Spotify daily since the invite only days in 2008. Don't know what I'd do if it would disappear, are there good alternatives?


A good friend of mine is a software engineer in their NYC office.

Some observations:

1) They have really cool concerts in their office regularly, and often have B-list musicians in their office .

2) They fly all new NYC employees to Sweden for a couple weeks for training and culture immersion.

3) Being in NYC allows them (it seems) to pay less than comparable jobs here in San Francisco. Probably because there are far fewer cool startups in NYC to compete for talent with.

4) The name "Spotify" was a total fluke and accident, one co-founder mis-heard another, bought the domain, and the rest is history.


> Probably because there are far fewer cool startups in NYC to compete for talent with.

I know this is a silly argument, but unless you have some evidence, I would advise you to take that back. http://nytm.org/made-in-nyc/


I don't really get your point.

One Twitter or Facebook can hire as many engineers as 1/2 that list. To say nothing of other interesting, top-tier tech companies from which there's nearly a limitless need for more engineers.

I have good friends who are good engineers in NYC, and I live here in SF. They had a ton of choices from digital agencies, finance companies, and myriad other places building line-of-business software. Here? Every experienced engineer I know with a LinkedIn gets several cold-inmails a month for startup & tech company opportunities.

It's about density. The financial district in San Francisco can fit in about 1 block of lower Manhattan. And the startup community in NYC compares similarly to the startup community here -- which stretches 50 miles from San Jose to San Francisco and beyond.


It would be interesting to know if they earn more money on subscriptions or on ads. If it is the former, then why not cut all free plans and leave only the subscriptions?

If I understood correctly, they pay a fee to the records company each time someone plays a song. Even if they're making half their revenue on the free plan, cutting royalties by something like 95% (just guessing) and losing 50% of the revenue doesn't seem like a bad idea... Of course they lose on advertising, but is there something else I'm missing?


I must be missing something here with regards to revenue. Spotify has 15 million users, 4 million of whom are paid subscribers. So 11 million free users.

They have two paid plans: $60/year and $120/year.

If we assume the following structure:

    11000000 free users @ $0.50 ad revenue per year = $  5,500,000
     4000000 mid users @ $60/year                   = $240,000,000
           0 top users @ $120/year                  = $          0
For a total of $245.5 million in revenue, already more than reported here. And those proportions for their two paid plans are clearly ridiculous. But even if their free users provide $0 in revenue _total_, they still only have 2% of paid users on their top plan.


You're not taking growth into account - they're still more than doubling each year. You'd have to use the average user count to do math properly, not today's user count.


Ah, dead on! Those user figures are from August this year but the revenue is listed as 2011. Thanks.


I wasn't expecting to be a fan of Spotify but I have had a subscription on my iPhone this past year and it has been excellent. I no longer keep iPod (iTunes-synced) music on my devices.


I'm a premium user for more than a year and I love it! It is indeed cheap, but making it more expensive won't get them the same number of paying people paying some amount of money. So from that I'd say that they aim to get more people to pay for music again. As nlh mentioned, he is not buying music anymore on iTunes. You could swap iTunes for downloading as well.

Spotify might as easily help artist to release their own music in a seperate section of the application. I would love to see something like this.


This explains why they've suddenly started spamming me with playlist updates from my FB friends...trying to crank up the virality factor in order to increase revenue.

I paid for Spotify for a few months, and thought it was nice, but I much prefer buying iTunes/Amazon music and syncing it to all of my devices via iTunes Match.

Until Spotify gets a better recommendation engine, I think they'll suffer to get revenue where they want it to be.


Recently I've hear Daniel Ek talk about the Spotify birth and business model, it gives you a better ideia of the path Spotify has taken, and answering questions about the differences about music and video services

http://ecorner.stanford.edu/authorMaterialInfo.html?mid=2964


I would pay up to £50 for that service. And if they charged £100 or even £1000 (per month) for that service, I wouldn't consider it unreasonable I'd just curse my luck fir being too poor.


The sooner Spotify shuts down, the better.


No seeders on your favorite torrent site?

Edit: Just realized that you're the anti-streaming guy from above. Here's the deal: $10 a moth is reasonable for me considering the amount of music that I listen too. If I had to purchase the music to listen to it I would go back to torrents. I can't afford to spend $100-200+ a month on music. And that's what it would cost with digital downloads or CDs ordered online. If I were to buy it in my country I would have to shell out up to $25 for a CD. That would mean that I had spend $500 so I can keep my music habits. That is about the median household income here.


Not a fan of the service or something else?




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