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In the late 2000s i remember that "nobody is willing to pay for things on the Internet" was a common trope. I think it'll culturally take a while before businesses and people understand what they are willing to pay for. For example if you are a large business and you pay xxxxx-xxxxxx per year per developer, but are only willing to pay xxx per year in AI tooling, something's out of proportion.


> For example if you are a large business and you pay xxxxx-xxxxxx per year per developer, but are only willing to pay xxx per year in AI tooling, something's out of proportion.

One is the time of a human (irreplaceable) and the other is a tool for some human to use, seems proportional to me.


> human (irreplaceable)

Everyone is replaceable. Software devs aren't special.


Domain knowledge is a real thing. Sure I could be replaced at my job but they'd have a pretty sketchy time until someone new can get up to speed.


Yes, with another human. I meant more that you cannot replace a human with a non-human, at least not yet and if you care about quality.


Perhaps you can replace multiple developers with a single developer and an AI tool in the near future.

In the same way that you could potentially replace multiple workers with handsaws with one guy wielding power tools.

There could be a lot of financial gain for businesses in this, even if you still need humans in the loop.


That may be, but I still think

> if you are a large business and you pay xxxxx-xxxxxx per year per developer, but are only willing to pay xxx per year in AI tooling, something's out of proportion.

Is way off base. Even if you replace multiple workers with one worker but better tool, businesses still won't want to pay the "multiple worker salary" to the single worker just because they use a more effective tool.


Yes, I agree. But do they have to?

It would seem to me that tokens are only going to get more efficient and cheaper from here.

Demand is going to rise further as AI keeps improving.

Some argue there is a bubble, but with demand from the public for private use, business, education, military, cyber security, intelligence, it just seems like there will be no lack of investment.


Late 1990s maybe. Not late 2000s.




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