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There will be times when you make a change to a page and the difference in reception between the two pages is as stark as the situation you described above where out of 20 clicks, one page does twice as well. But most often there is a very minor difference between the click rate of the two pages, like less than 1%. In that case, you need a much larger samples size.

And even if you do get lucky and get a test like the one you described above, chances are, you want to continue to revise the page and make more subtle changes which will mean you need a much larger sample size even to reach the low bar of 90% confidence.



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