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It will cause people to become much much much more conservative and safety oriented.

You already see this in practice - you can't buy real chemistry sets, kids are never left alone, safety equipment for riding a bike, etc, etc, etc.

Basically everywhere people say "When I was a kid we used to xxxx", and today they don't. It's a direct result of accidents slowly becoming the primary cause of death.



>It's a direct result of accidents slowly becoming the primary cause of death.

Unintentional injuries were responsible for 39.4 deaths per 100 000 in 2011 [1], behind heart diseases (191), malignant neoplasms (185), chronic lower respiratory diseases (46), and cerebrovascular diseases (41).

The age-adjusted unintentional injury death rate "was relatively unchanged, from 38.6 deaths per 100,000 population in 1985 to 37.7 deaths per 100,000 in 2004" [2].

EDIT: while unintentional injury death rates have held their ground, overall death rates have been in decline. Hence, unintentional injuries are rising as a proportion of deaths (though they have a good distance to cover before they can tap on disease's shoulder).

[1] http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvsr/nvsr61/nvsr61_06.pdf page 4

[2] http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/misc/injury2007.pdf page 19


You should check statistics only for under age 30.

Also the accident rate in previous years is the wrong thing to check - you want to check the accident rate relative to the non-accident rate.


>you want to check the accident rate relative to the non-accident rate

You are right - that the "risk of dying decreased by 60 percent from 1935 to 2010" in the U.S. [2] while the unintentional accident death rate remained constant so, yes, the fraction of deaths caused by accidents would have increased. My mistake.

>You should check statistics only for under age 30.

Injury deaths for ages 0 to 29 actually average 36 per 100 000 per year, less than the population average of 39. Granted this is a quirk of injury death rates being lowest for 4 to 12 year olds (average 6 per 100 000 per year) - this is the only age group for which injury death rates are below 10 per 100 000 per year. It then climbs to a local maximum of 75 at age 21, a level not seen again until age 74. A second local minimum occurs at ages 30 to 34 (average 56 per 100 000 per year) and a third at 56 to 67 (average 51 per 100 000 per year).

[1] http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/misc/injury2007.pdf page 16

[2] http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/databriefs/db88.pdf page 2


And presumably the non-accident death rate below 30 is even lower (relative to the population average).

Basically if an under 30 dies it's becoming more and more likely that it's a result of accident rather than anything else. And this causes people to become more and more cautious. i.e. it used to be that people had a real chance of death anyway, so taking a (physical) risk is not that big an increase in risk, but now it's a larger relative risk.


A) That's not actually true everywhere.

B) God forbid we should treat human lives as valuable instead of expendable! /sarcasm


When I was a kid, I should have lost my fingers for playing with fireworks. Roman candle wars, bottle rocket barrages... in hindsight I'm surprised we all made it uninjured to graduating highschool.




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