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I believe that decreased child mortality and increased education/self-sufficiency for women are two of the big triggers for reduced birth rates in developing countries; in other words, increase the chances that the kids they have will survive to support their parents, and decrease the need for mothers to be supported by their children/possibly increase the opportunity cost to them of having children (although I don't think I've heard it described in that last way, it's just how it looks to me).



Good points, thanks! I now see that Bill and Melinda Gates addressed the same points in their annual letter:

http://annualletter.gatesfoundation.org/#section=myth-three




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