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As a public policy matter, and if I had to guess, these controls have more to do with retarding the flow of any high-end technology to the USG blacklist. The policy goal isn't to prevent organizations on the blacklist from being able to deploy RSA encryption, but rather to prevent them from sourcing technology of any sort from US companies.

Blacklisted organizations can obviously still source RSA, along with whatever platform they want to run it on, but it's presumably more expensive for them to do so.



I'm not even sure the object is to make it significantly more expensive, at least not in the financial sense. If I were a securocrat, I'd be monitoring entities forbidden from purchasing this stuff from the US in order to compile intelligence on them and their vendors - do they prefer to use TOR, or just hit a supplier in .xyz domain, or does a particular individual reliably purchase a plane ticket after a legal rejection?


This could also be one of those things where everyone involved recognizes that the policy is incoherent, but any time someone makes a serious move towards reforming it, they're informed by DoD or DHS that aspects of the policy have convenient knock-on effects that they don't want to eliminate.

If the policy isn't actively harming industry (and beyond optics it may not really be doing that much direct harm), it may seem like poor risk/reward to change it.

This isn't a normative argument.




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