>"Most recently, in December 2014, the
Notebook did an exhaustive review of
Israel's nuclear arsenal and concluded
that claims it has 200 to 400 warheads
are probably exaggerated and that the
country's stockpile is more likely in the
range of roughly 80 nuclear warheads
(Kristensen and Norris, 2014b). Getting
the size and composition right is important
because it hints at Israeli intentions,
and can therefore have a significant effect
on threat perceptions in the Middle East
and the potential nuclear aspirations of
other countries in the region"