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That's the crux of the issue. It seems that the current economy will rather drive itself to the ground, taking all of humanity with it, rather than transitioning itself to a different value system. It looks like the post-scarcity world is not on the phase-space trajectory we're currently following.



Right now I feel every reason to be gratuitously optimistic.

- Solar photo-voltaic is or is about to be the cheapest form of electricity, we will solve the storage problem

- Electric cars are getting closer to the tipping point, and they are going to drive themselves

- Biotech is making incredible gains, see cancer immunotherapy or NSI-189

- The pace of technological innovation has accelerated and continues

- The intellectual capital of the human race has never been anywhere near this large, free, accessible

- Robots/a lot of weak AI is or is about to get to a point to change the game


We're on trajectory technologically but not sociologically.


  "We eat in restaurants, buy branded toiletries, build 
  skyscrapers, create legislative institutions, travel in 
  flying machines, write poetry, and search for meaning in 
  relationships, temples, and scientific books. Humans have 
  discovered antibiotics, sent probes into space, decimated 
  rainforests, shared a billion views of clips of kitten 
  behaviour, and decoded their own genomes.


  But there is one thing that humans have singularly failed 
  to do, and that is to properly understand their own behaviour. "

  — Robert Aunger and Valerie Curtis:
  Gaining Control: How human behavior evolved
[0] https://global.oup.com/academic/product/gaining-control-9780...


It's hubris to say this, but we're not as far off as you might think.

If "they" can fix economics ( big if ) that alone would make a big difference. But the US only got off the gold standard in my lifetime.

There's a Churchill quote about Americans; I think it generalizes to humans - "Americans can always be counted on to do the right thing…after they have exhausted all other possibilities."


On a macro scale it's momentum and incentives at play. Daunting, but malleable.

Locally, we're close to achieving sensible cities/communities with renewable energy, easier access to rapid prototyping, and worker co-op business models.

Do what you can with what you have to make your city and friends have access to healthy enjoyable lives.


From where I'm sitting, it doesn't look like we're remotely close. Renewable energy and effective urban planning are not at all common, and worker co-op business models are quite rare.

I like your vision of the future, but I don't see much evidence that we're headed there.




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