Most people who criticize "bullshit jobs" simply lack the perspective to see how these jobs are critically important for society. Take the list from the article itself, one of the "bullshit jobs" listed is actuary. Well, without actuaries, insurance would not be priced correctly, and would be prohibitively expensive or too cheap and insurance companies would go out of business. Either way, insurance would be less available than it is today.
And what does a world with less insurance look like? Insurance lets people trade a small amount of money for protection against a loss of a life-ruining amount of money. Without health insurance or fire insurance, people have to save up as much money as they can in the case of a catastrophic accident which they probably won't have, and possibly declining to spend that money on important things like higher education, etc. And when people are underinsured, they're constantly in a state of baseline anxiety, worry about "what ifs."
Is that the world this author wants to live in? One where he's constantly worrying about what might happen if he gets sick? That's not a world I want.
When most people say "bullshit job", it seems to me like they really mean "job that could be solved by a well-built machine". Farming used to be a bullshit job until we built gigantic combines and automated watering systems and agricultural data storage systems, and now our farming problems are electronic, not logistic. (except for water, but that's another story.)
So for the example of an actuary, ideally their job would also be automated by an advanced program. Not an impossibly advanced one, mind you - it certainly would not have to be smarter than even the 50th percentile of programs out there today. If we took every actuary working 9 to 5, and instead threw all of their tens of thousands of daily working hours at coding a program to do their job, how soon do you think we could automate an entire industry?
This extends to all jobs, eventually. You are seeing it happen today, with farming. Tomorrow, we will see taxi and Lyft drivers replaced with self driving cars, and mail/package delivery given entirely to robots and drones.
The moral of the story is we should automate jobs that people don't like doing.
I don't appreciate the fact that you run so far away with this doomsday scenario of "no insurance means we all get sick and die". Try to focus on the discussion the article wants us to have, not on the side-scenario that you want to use to rationalize actuaries or other poorly optimized vocations.
So for the example of an actuary, ideally their job would also be automated by an advanced program...If we took every actuary working 9 to 5, and instead threw all of their tens of thousands of daily working hours at coding a program to do their job...
What, exactly, do you think actuaries do during their 9-5? Do you think they manually compute actuarial tables with a TI-89?
Actuary here: only 5% of billable-hours go into the concept of the math and probability behind setting appropriate price.
95% of the work involves translating the messiness of real-world into the model-based world. This is the type of thing that's obliviously difficult to automate: e.g. more difficult to build a robot-nurse than a robot-surgeon.
Yes, as I was following this subthread, I imagined that an actuary's real job was to recognize and model things to be insured or otherwise predicted. The math is just the executive summary.
I personally see a lot of potential for automation, -just tonight I was out working for a non-profit that saves a lot of hassle because I learned them a few Excel tricks back in 2012.
Another place I was paid for less than 20 hours and it shaved two hours of preparations for the run of a machine, meaning they could keep it for several years more.
Farming isn't a bullshit job, at least not if you love it. The same could be said of everything.
What society, and by secondary intent technology should aim to do is to enable everyone to be capable of performing the job for which they have passion for.
My parents are farmers, and love it. I love it too. It is far from a bullshit job. But for the average joe slaving away on a rice paddy in China, they may dream of something grander than the opportunities afforded them.
I have been fortunate enough to have more education and opportunities than even 0.001% of the population could wish for - excellent schools, 3 bachelors degrees, 10 years at uni, mostly having the time of my life. I'm a doctor performing a job I find fulfilling, and I have a startup that grew out of a hobby. And it's profitable.
Society should aim to give everyone the opportunities afforded to me. Because then there would be no bullshit jobs.
Yes, but we have to automate all the "bullshit jobs" before that can happen. Otherwise people who don't want to be doing them get stuck doing them. "Bullshit job" isn't a judgement against people who enjoy something, it is a judgement against the system that forces people to do "work", even when they aren't interested in it and it doesn't really contribute much to society.
> "Bullshit job" isn't a judgement against people [...] it is a judgement against the system that forces people to do "work"[...] and it doesn't really contribute much to society.
I know this is probably not what you've meant, but:
I do think that this can be seen as pretty judgemental. Contribution (without parameters/scale) to society (without further specification) feels very subjective to me.
You're right, that sounded pretty pretentious and high-horsey. I just meant that if a job can be automated cheaply, then we all generally benefit from automating it, assuming the people previously doing it are cared for.
> If we took every actuary working 9 to 5, and instead threw all of their tens of thousands of daily working hours at coding a program to do their job, how soon do you think we could automate an entire industry?
This is naive techno-optimism.[1]
[1] https://xkcd.com/1425; "The title text mentions The Summer Vision Project and Marvin Minsky of MIT. In the summer of 1966, he asked his undergraduate student Gerald Jay Sussman to 'spend the summer linking a camera to a computer and getting the computer to describe what it saw' ([1]).... The project schedule allocated one summer for the completion of this task. The required time was obviously significantly underestimated, since dozens of research groups around the world are still working on this topic today."
The DARPA Grand Challenge started in 2004 [1], and now we have autonomous vehicles on the road in select locations. While still not fully unmanned, we've gone from nothing to a great deal of automation in ~11 years.
Spacex was founded in 2002 [2], and is expected to have a successful first stage powered vehicle recovery this year. 13 years from incorporation to revolution.
IBM's Watson diagnoses cancer better than a human doctor [3].
Keep you skepticism sir. I'll bet on the future; its winning.
>When most people say "bullshit job", it seems to me like they really mean "job that could be solved by a well-built machine".
What Graeber seems to mean is jobs that serve the interests of some people at the expense of others and overall contribute very little, nothing, or actively work against the interests of society at large.
That is what Graeber aims to describe - he's even specifically written about how technology has undermined "meaningful" employment in agriculture and manufacturing - but the problem is his arguments against "bullshit jobs" conflate jobs which don't serve society with jobs whose employees feel they're worthless because they much preferred being poet-musicians. The latter argument, and Graeber's vision of "Hell is a collection of individuals who are spending the bulk of their time working on a task they don’t like and are not especially good at" are extremely susceptible to precisely the "lack of perspective' criticism raised by the OP. And unlike Graeber, I've met corporate lawyers who chose that line of work because they found it interesting and valuable (and I'd hazard the corporate lawyers that draft the worst contract terms and push the hardest for unnecessary litigation really enjoy their jobs)
Sitting in a corporate cubicle churning out CRUD apps on spec for customers you're isolated from probably feels like it's contributing less to society than co-founding a "change the world" startup that fails to achieve product market fit, but the former probably achieves more good for society, even if it's only the sort of good that involves people having to do less paperwork manually...
>he's even specifically written about how technology has undermined "meaningful" employment in agriculture and manufacturing
Wasn't how I read it. He mentioned that technology "freed up" people from working in the field, though, meaning they could then be put to work in bullshit jobs.
>his arguments against "bullshit jobs" conflate jobs which don't serve society with jobs whose employees feel they're worthless because they much preferred being poet-musicians
I derive a lot more benefit from poet-musicians than I do from corporate lawyers. Admittedly, corporate lawyers are never employed for my benefit, but I think was kind of the point.
One of the key differences between poet-musicians and lawyers is that if the former group do something that benefits you, you quite literally hear it. Corporate lawyers talking the board out of doing something damaging to the public because of potential legal ramifications do so behind closed doors. And lawyers for public companies are often quietly propping up the value of an awful lot of ordinary people's savings even when defending frankly indefensible acts. Similarly, the public is only indirectly picking up the tab for the production and distribution of unpopular music albums.
Shareholder return isn't an especially useful gauge of the redeeming features of sleazy corporate lawyers or artistic merit of moderately unsuccessful musicians either, but calculations of social benefit are a lot more complex than they first appear
>If we took every actuary working 9 to 5, and instead threw all of their tens of thousands of daily working hours at coding a program to do their job, how soon do you think we could automate an entire industry?
Not very soon? If that were possible, don't you think insurance companies would have long ago jumped at the chance to drastically reduce their labor costs?
>The moral of the story is we should automate jobs that people don't like doing.
As you say, you can see this happening today. This is already how the economy works. No company is going to pay workers if they can avoid it. So what's the problem?
> The moral of the story is we should automate jobs that people don't like doing.
who decides what jobs people dont like doing? Just because you might not like being a taxi driver, farmer, actuary, etc, doesnt mean you should demolish the job with automation -- plenty of people find these jobs provide a fulfilling workday and are passionate about them. any automation there would deprive them of doing them as a profession, which is somewhat sad.
ill take it a bit further: how would we feel if tomorrow, we woke up and some guys from stanford published new research on AI which can automagically produce working software given a set of requirements -- and they give it away for free. the role of software development is no longer required, since this AI can do the job in seconds without bugs (you know, assuming requirements can be written without bugs!). what then of software developers? our jobs no longer make economic sense. you'll need to find one of those jobs not solved by a computer.
Allow me to turn it back on you: what if your sentiment had prevailed at any time during our current revolution in automation? Say a group of factory workers protest automation not because it puts them out of a job, but because they like what they do (a totally unnecessary distinction - part of the reason I like my job is that it lets me eat and pay bills). Are you sympathetic to preventing automation then? Or is our current level of automation just right because it has presented you with the least amount of challenge to your job?
No, we should encourage automation full-tilt. Jobs are lost every day to automation, and the promise of a world where the workweek is short to nonexistent is one we should embrace, not reject because some people like their jobs. If we work hard enough to bring this to fruition, the actuary can crunch numbers on his own time if he wants -- or is free to explore thousands of other hobbies.
how would we feel if tomorrow, we woke up and some guys from stanford published new research on AI which can automagically produce working software given a set of requirements -- and they give it away for free. the role of software development is no longer required
It might be inconvenient for me in the short term, but the world would be much better off overall. Trying to forbid that technology so that I could keep my current job would be selfish and destructive.
I've programmed since i was age 11 and i have been waiting for that research to be published ever since.
Programming is often times fun, but at the end of the day I program to get a job done, back then to develop a game, not because i love solving Sudokus.
" how would we feel if tomorrow, we woke up and some guys from stanford published new research on AI which can automagically produce working software given a set of requirements -- and they give it away for free." I would personally feel great because that would mean I could focus on getting the requirements part right instead of slogging back and forth through build software that almost but doesn't quite get the requirements right and then perhaps I would have enough time to work on extending the system to being able to capture requirements from users as well.
How would we feel? In the grand scheme of things it wouldn't matter since the value in automating something like that would be absolutely enormous to productivity.
I don't write software because I like typing commands, I do it because I want to create something. We assume people do work because they want money, but real satisfaction is solving problems, and there are no shortage of those.
Automating actuaries should already have happened. Most actuaries will know some programming and nowadays you cannot get hired unless you can use VBA at a minimum or C++.
Bullshitness is not an all-or-nothing quality for jobs, that's part of why they're so hard to get rid of. You can find some justification to every job, but this justification can be dubious, or can not be worth the cost in human energy or social side effects.
Most jobs are somewhat bullshitty not because they solve no problem, but because they solve it in grossly contrived and ineffective way. That can be crushing, when you realize you're a cog in a Rube Goldberg contraption.
To take your example, private insurance against life-threatening events is very difficult to make effective through free markets: you need so many regulations to define what's cheating and prevent it (which criterions a company can discriminate against, preexisting conditions, transparency...) that you end up with a cost/effectiveness ratio even worse than that of mandatory, state operated systems from Europe.
There are also many jobs which are zero-sum games: if you do marketing or advertising on a non-elastic market, the job you do luring your competitors' customers is undone by the person doing the same job on your competitors' payrolls. It's, plain and simple, an arms race, and it's as wasteful as the USA/USSR one. Those jobs exist because markets aren't good enough at reaching multilateral disarmament agreements (except against customers' interests, as oligopolies).
More generally speaking, free markets are a stochastic optimization system that's (1) very slowly converging, which means an awful lot of resources are spent slowly crawling towards an optimum (2) pretty bad at escaping local optima and (3) navigating a space full of negative singularities (monopolies). We're stuck with a lot of bullshit jobs because they're doing OK at micro-optimization, but they're often quite bad at macro-optimization.
Reading your last paragraph, I just wished more people were researching ways to fix this situation, and to come up with new economic models to replace standard capitalism. It would probably be the least bullshit job of all :)
I expect he wants the world to change more fundamentally than that - per your example, if you have a good state-provided health service then the health insurance question is simply no longer an issue. There are of course countries that do this already.
I think motor insurance would be a more difficult one to do away with - the question being if people didn't have to pay for any accidents they caused (via insurance premiums), would risk-taking increase to the point where the cost to the state became untenable? Then again if we lived in a futuristic society looked after by self-maintaining solar-powered robots then any service would essentially be free so maybe it wouldn't matter.
Single payer still acts as an insurer and needs actuaries (even if they're not called that) to figure out which procedures make sense with their limited resources.
Not really. There is no need to price the cost of insuring a 30 year old white male living in Croydon. If he is ill, he gets treatment. If he is not ill, he doesn't.
The only thing close to actuarial science that the NHS actually needs is QALYS calculations. This is only really used for calculating how worthwhile very expensive treatments that target the very old or very disabled.
The number of people needed to do that is very small, compared to the number needed to calculate prices in a non-single payer context.
Then they need to estimate how many procedures of each kind to contract, or how large facilities to maintain, in Croydon. Which in part depends on the number of 30 year old white males living there.
If they get it wrong, he doesn't magically get treatment anyway. He either has to wait, or travel elsewhere (and someone still has to figure out where and when). Otherwise, they waste money on unused capacity.
Perhaps, but you don't need an army of sophisticated actuaries to figure this year's number for Croydon is not too different from the last 20 years of data. There are some prediction and budgeting problems to solve of course but they are of an entirely different character when you're not dealing with a for profit or marketplace solution.
Australia had/has state provided third party vehicle insurance as part of the required yearly vehicle tax.
Aside from economies of scale and protection from risk this was also incredibly useful in that one could (if qualified) legally drive any vehicle displaying a valid windscreen ticket.
It's supposed to be for Works & Pensions (unemployment and pensions basically) but I think it now goes into the general tax pot. It's not health insurance though.
I think actuary is a poor example. Graeber himself would might correct himself if he was reminded of what he just said. It's probably a waste of time to hone in on that particular off the cuff statement.
There are still plenty of jobs which are bullshit though. For example my girlfriend is an auditor. Most of her job would disappear if the infrastructure existed to have her clients financial records completely digitised. A program could then analyse the data (which is mostly done at the moment with a bunch of spreadsheets right now) and with higher audit coverage (they can only check/test a fraction of records and transactions). Her workload could go from 5-6 days a week to 2.
There are jobs that are legitimately BS and everyone within the industry knows it but works hard at it anyways because it's their job.
In the investment world there are a lot that come to mind.
A large number of financial advisors' entire job is just sales: they get clients funneled to companies that do the stock picking. They know these companies will not beat the indexes but it's safe, accepted, absolves them somewhat of responsibility when things go south, and these companies give them all the talking points they need to deal with clients efficiently so they can collect more.
Those companies see their job as not being out of line with the stock market indexes. They have to be a little different to justify their existence but not different enough to risk being way short of the benchmark. It is impossible for them to beat the market with their levels of risk aversion + fees, and there is no real incentive to do so. Within these companies, a large majority of the effort therefore goes to marketing to financial advisors trying to get their clients' money.
That's putting aside the question of whether there is any societal value if these RIA's were even trying and succeeding at getting more returns for their clients.
> Without health insurance or fire insurance, people have to save up as much money as they can in the case of a catastrophic accident which they probably won't have, and possibly declining to spend that money on important things like higher education
Some countries have figured some of that out: Distribute the health and education risk between every citizen (it typically achieves a 50% discount vs. privatly insured countries)[0]
Like 'sama? Remember, the whole world of VC is a subcategory of private equity.
> * Lobbyists
Lobbyists are the ones that tell the government that if they pass the new environmental regulation, the coal plant employing 300 workers will have to close. Other lobbyists tell the government that if they don't pass the new environmental regulation, that coal plant will impose tens of millions of dollars of healthcare costs on the surrounding neighborhood. Both are important functions.
> * PR researchers
Are cosmetics companies also bullshit in your calculation?
> * Bailiffs
So courts in which dangerous criminals are prosecuted shouldn't have people providing security?
Lobbyists are people who tell officials whatever they are paid to say. Each individual lobbyist is presumably useful to the person paying them. But that doesn't mean that they are societally useful. If we had exactly zero of them, legislators would still learn things and pass laws. They might need to hire more researchers. Or they might not, because there'd be less distortion to sort through.
The reason company X needs a lobbyist is often because company Y has a lobbyist. That's certainly why Google and the tech industry started spending heavily; they were losing out to other players. It's basically an arms race to manipulate government. With the additional problem that the battleground is our own country, so that the harm caused by the ongoing war is not borne by lobbyists but by taxpayers and citizens.
> Lobbyists are people who tell officials whatever they are paid to say
Lobbyists are paid to advocate the viewpoints of their clients, but their clients are people: businesses, organizations, and individuals with a stake in the society.
> If we had exactly zero of them, legislators would still learn things and pass laws. They might need to hire more researchers.
Sure, you can move that function into the bureaucracy. Instead of lobbyists presenting information on behalf of clients, you could have technocrats that were part of the bureaucracy. But someone has to present to the legislators the impact a proposal will have on various stakeholders--it would be a bad thing if nobody did that work.
And it's not clear that moving the research function into the bureaucracy would be a good thing. The benefit of the lobbying system is that it's adversarial--Google's lobbyists can attack the evidence and reasoning of Sony's lobbyists. But who attacks the evidence of the faceless unelected technocrat? Non-adversarial processes have failure modes too.
Also, it's not like without lobbyists big corporations wouldn't have influence over government, or even less influence. Companies like mass retailers, oil companies, coal companies, etc, will always have tremendous pull because they employ lots of people or control products vital to the economy. Companies like Google merely have money, rather than hundreds of thousands of voters' livelihoods as bargaining chips. It's a huge credit of the lobbying system that such companies can have as much influence over government as they do.
> their clients are people: businesses, organizations, and individuals with a stake in the society.
Protip: no matter what Romney says, corporations are not people. Having started a number of companies, and having also met a few people, I am quite sure they are different. Only one of them is supposed to be running the government.
> But someone has to present to the legislators the impact a proposal will have on various stakeholders
If only there were some organization that could do that. Maybe we could call it the Congressional Budget Office or the Congressional Research Service. Maybe legislators could have aides who specialize in particular areas. Or heck, maybe our legislators could find some way to hear what knowledgeable people say. Like they could invite experts to come by and hear what they have to say. We could call it a hear-ing.
> But who attacks the evidence of the faceless unelected technocrat?
Everybody. Which is basically what happens now. Also, I am no expert, but I am pretty sure that most legislative aides and researchers have faces.
>Companies like Google merely have money [...] It's a huge credit of the lobbying system that such companies can have as much influence over government as they do.
Absolutely. Thank god money can have incredible influence. Lord knows what would happen if the power were actually held by the people. Cats and dogs sleeping together, I'm sure. It'd be anarchy.
Court appointed bailiffs have been used by myself to recover owed cash on a couple of occasions so they serve a purpose and a good one. If people enter a contract they can't fulfil then there needs to be a method to obtain appropriate compensation.
Every seen those ratings of countries as "Good places to do business"? Part of that is how well contracts are enforced and debts paid.
Countries where it takes 10 years to force a company/person to pay a debt are not highly ranked and thus people are a lot less willing to do business or invest in them.
Eg You little startup won't be able to lease office furniture if the hiring company doesn't think it can at least seize it back..
Please do share. I am nonplussed as to why someone (on HN, the bastion of entrepreneurial culture, nonetheless!) would have problems with a societal framework that is #1 for doing business.
Yes. It was good for me and it was good for the other person too. Why? Because it enforces society's moral standards upon everyone. If there is no common ground it descends into anarchy because if someone owes me £1500 I'm going to pay £200 to smash his kneecaps if there wasn't a court and bailiff option...
I'm sorry, but if you think that is what a state-less society will turn to, then it says more about you than it does about other people. I, for example, don't not smash people's kneecaps because it's "against the law", just like most other individuals that inhabit this society.
On the other hand, you seem to be under the misconception that there can be no "common ground" in a society without a state-mandated "common ground". Here are some links to start you off on:
#Note. Sorry for detracting from the main topic being discussed here. But I sometimes do feel compelled to enlighten individuals that seem to have some very "spoon fed" definitions about the possibility of a state-less society, and how it might look like.
I'm curious, have you ever lived in a country without strong centralized law enforcement? I have. It sucks. Even if 90% of people don't use violence, that just creates an enormous incentive for the other 10% of people to do so. And those 10%, organized into gangs, can terrorize the other 90%.
>"I'm curious, have you ever lived in a country without strong centralized law enforcement? I have. It sucks."
Did that country also have laws against carrying firearms? How about laws that prevent individuals from defending themselves? E.g. Castle-doctrine, self-defense, private security firms, etc. You may hail it as proof that without a state, safety is not ensured. But I see it as an unfortunate limbo position where there is no protection provided by the state to the inhabitants, and there are also legal/state obstacles in place to prevent private individuals from performing that function.
I live in a country that is in the top 40 on the list of per-capita murder rates in the world. Probably much higher up on the list if you take into account violent crimes, etc. South Africa. It also has a huge industry for security services provided by private companies. Not only that, but a huge population of the country has opted to live in little "security" estates that have controlled access, private security guards, security cameras, electric fences, etc. Neighborhoods that spend large amounts of money on aiding the police in securing their neighborhood using cameras, volunteer patrols, paid private security company patrols, etc. In order to take private security any further, laws need to be removed because they are not being implemented effectively (like the rest of the country, but that's a separate debate). E.g. neighborhoods can't currently cordon off access to their streets, even if they had permission from all the land owners in the neighborhood. This is also the main reason why so many are moving to security estates, because they're huge chunks of private land and as such bypass those rules.
>"Even if 90% of people don't use violence, that just creates an enormous incentive for the other 10% of people to do so. And those 10%, organized into gangs, can terrorize the other 90%."
One of us is right in this regard. Perhaps it's also some sort of gray area where everything except X, Y, Z can be provided for privately without the need for a state. But would you at least concede that we can never know the true point in this spectrum without testing it? I.e. By slowly allowing private companies/individuals to take over safety/security. Note, removing state protection/security services in one go would be disastrous, I would never advocate it as I think it would cause total violent anarchy overnight.
> But I see it as an unfortunate limbo position where there is no protection provided by the state to the inhabitants, and there are also legal/state obstacles in place to prevent private individuals from performing that function.
Private security can't replace the state. In South Africa, the rich can hire private security because the state exists as a backstop to prevent security companies from turning on their clients. Without the state, any organization effective enough in the exercise of violence to provide real security has every incentive to simply enslave its clients.
> One of us is right in this regard. Perhaps it's also some sort of gray area where everything except X, Y, Z can be provided for privately without the need for a state. But would you at least concede that we can never know the true point in this spectrum without testing it?
We have tested it. In Somalia and Yemen and Pakistan. Feudal Europe. States didn't always exist. They arose as defense mechanisms to the power of organized groups to terrorize the majority with violence.
>"We have tested it. In Somalia and Yemen and Pakistan. Feudal Europe. States didn't always exist. They arose as defense mechanisms to the power of organized groups to terrorize the majority with violence."
Oh wow, I didn't know Somalia, Yemen and Pakistan were once, or currently are state-less societies? And yes, casual google searching yielded no fruitful results. Except for Somalia, which is a well-known failed-state that that's recently been in a brutal civil war. To compare it to the mild/incremental ideas that I propose/suggest is intellectually low-belt.
>"Private security can't replace the state. In South Africa, the rich can hire private security[..]"
I know it doesn't suit your preconceived notions about "private security" but security in South Africa is actually very affordable. Not that the poor get much "security" in civilized nations for free from the state, but that's a different discussion. You'd be surprised at how effective money is when a group of like-minded individuals spend it on their little neighborhood or slice of land.
>"In South Africa, the rich can hire private security because the state exists as a backstop to prevent security companies from turning on their clients. Without the state, any organization effective enough in the exercise of violence to provide real security has every incentive to simply enslave its clients."
Again, it's as if you're completely side-stepping what I'm saying/proposing with pre-made knee-jerk responses. Enslaving individuals would never be allowed to exist on a large scale in a digital/connected society. But besides that, I suggest slow, incremental shifts towards "more privatized" security that is not hindered by the state. That is the big problem when discussing these issues with "statists", you don't even make any room for the possibility of attempting these ideas, or trying milder alternatives. Alternatives that could signal individuals that 'hey, maybe we don't need the state'. Almost as if you fear competition.
Oh give me a break. This isn't star trek and you're not Picard.
Three simple words derail all idealism in your post:
Corruption. Power. Poverty.
You don't smash people's knees in because you've never had to so you can solicit a payment that you entered a contract and need to eat for the next couple of weeks and you approach the authorities and they've been paid off or don't give a shit.
Humans don't look after each other very well, even if you do.
I simply admit that smashing kneecaps is a valid recourse in a world with the above concerns.
You might want to live in Brazil or South Africa for a bit.
"You might want to live in Brazil or South Africa for a bit."
I DO live in South Africa, thank you. I have for the last 8 years. So then, how does that affect your point? Are you implying I don't know what it's like living in a dangerous country because I don't live in one?
The often extreme violence of creditors against debtors, and the way that has debt has been used to control (and often enslave) others is another theme of Graeber's books.
You honestly can't be so arrogant so as to assume that if you can't see the benefit of an activity, that it must not have any benefit, right?
Lobbyists are critical to the functioning of the American system of government. They're even mentioned in the Constitution.
Private equity firms make retirement possible.
PR researchers enable companies to not have to deal exclusively with the populist swaying of public opinion. Public opinion, generally speaking, is an awful way to do business and to make decisions. Mobs are cruel.
I could go on but this method of dealing with your issues is unsustainable. Suffice it to say that you're just going to have to live with the fact that you don't understand everything and that's okay.
Go on. I'd like to see how telemarketing is useful. For me, it's a more demeaning job than being a prostitute - at least in the latter case, two parties engage in a mutually beneficial exchange of value. The job of a telemarketer is to trick a person into wasting his/her hard-earned money on a subpar product the person doesn't even need.
Telemarketing may not be useful, but now the goalpost seems to have moved from "prove most jobs are actually useful" to "prove no jobs of questionable utility exist"
Telemarketing is useful in some way to the person who employs the telemarketer. Otherwise he/she wouldn't pay someone to do it.
It's also useful to the person earning the salary, who then spends their salary consuming in the economy. Not everyone is lucky/brave enough to pursue what they are truly passionate about.
Finally, even if the job doesn't generate any sales, it's still redistributing wealth away from one set of people (shareholders of the company) to others in the economy. Is this useful?
Useful for humanity. Because "useful for employee" or "useful for employer" are bad measures that allow really stupid things to exist.
This job is based on lying and/or deceiving to people to trick them into buying somethng. Whoever is paying for it is actively hurting other humans. In a way it's worse than bullshit - it's a malicious job.
I am. Before someone brings up the military - you can say that armed forces are built on malice, but the harm is at least directed towards other societies. Telemarketing is basically hurting members of your own.
Agreed, and the same goes for the people that do "customer support" on call centers set up in basements, run by "managers" fit for a reenactment of the Stanford experiment, dealing with disrespectful customers that are angry about the crap sold to them by the same company that outsources "support" to yet another outsourcer. All while these people do nerve wrecking "work" for minimum wage, because they have to eat, until they burn out. And this is in Europe.
I recently received a call to remember to sign up for a charity race before the early signup deadline passed.
It was good for me because I had done it for the past 5 years, but hadn't remembered to sign up yet. The reminder saved me money for early signup.
It was good for the caller because they then had another person committed to doing the event.
----
The college I went to was funded in part by donations from alumni. Without donations received by telemarketers calling, there would be less resources available for my education.
Let's take Private Equity CEOs. The bottom line of what they do is try to reallocate capital away from less productive investments and towards more productive investments.
In general, you can make that sort of broad argument about anything. For example, you could say slavers were trying to reallocate labor from where it was less productive (African subsistence farming) to where it was more productive (building the American economy).
The point being made here is whether Private Equity CEOs are contributing anything substantial apart from concentrating capital. The answer to that has to be no. Private equity firms (the refashioned lbo firms, not vc) have a history of preying on medium-sized solid businesses where they strip the company of assets, load it with debt, and eventually pocket gains at the expense of employees and other stakeholders.
That said, I agree with you in that a PE CEO is a bad example to use in this case. A PE firm is not neutral-useless, it is deleterious to society.
>For example, you could say slavers were trying to reallocate labor from where it was less productive (African subsistence farming) to where it was more productive (building the American economy).
I think that's a different discourse. Slave labour was not a "bullshit job", it was productive. However, it was unethical. You can have productive jobs which are unethical, but that's a separate discussion from bullshit jobs.
>I think that's a different discourse. Slave labour was not a "bullshit job", it was productive.
That depends on how you do the accounting. If you account for slave labor as the cost of minimal food and housing, then it's not only productive, it's cheaper than almost anything else, especially because the slaves are property, so you can breed them and get a return-on-investment while also extracting labor.
Of course, if you account for slave labor in terms of some equivalent to wages, then all of a sudden society has reason to stop using slave labor and innovate instead. Ditto for today's low-wage labor in which sub-living wages end up subsidized by state antipoverty benefits.
Society has always faced a choice between exploitation and innovation, a zero-sum arrangement and a positive-sum arrangement. Unfortunately, rarely has it been wise enough to choose the latter.
Private equity is one of the most valuable functions of a market based economy, and that's understating its importance. To say the head of a private equity firm serves no purpose, is to claim allocating private capital in a market economy needs nobody in charge of that process at the company doing it.
Nearly all venture capital is private equity. Sam Altman is the President of a private equity company.
Private equity is not about concentrating capital, it's about allocating capital to productive use. It's no more vile than the stock market, which allocates capital from investors during the IPO process and afterward through the common purchase of shares.
Further, your comparison about slavery is obviously entirely false. An angel investor - aka private equity investor - like say Mark Cuban, who owns his own investment company and is the head of it, is not performing a function similar to slavery. Mark's capital is his own, and it was not stolen from people held in slavery by force. There is no similarity, and one cannot simply say they're similar because slavers were re-allocating capital too, that would be an intentionally nonsensical comparison.
This is why I wrote in paranthesis that I am talking about refashioned lbo firms, not vc firms. I am talking about KKR, Bain Capital (not Bain Ventures), Blackstone and the like. I am NOT talking about firms like Kleiner Perkins and Sequoia.
Then why not say leveraged buyout firms, since your issue is with an exceptionally small segment of private equity, instead of referring in general terms to private equity (and PE CEOs) across your entire post?
Having a good understanding of what KKR does, I fail to see how they're so bad. Most of KKR's deals have involved voluntary buyouts, which were then spun back off and voluntarily purchased by other investors. Almost all of the deals that made them famous in the 1980s were friendly deals.
Can you give me a better understanding, in a short summary, of why KKR is so terrible?
The theory and reality of private equity do seem to be worlds apart. Much like the theory and practice of high speed trading.
In theory they reallocate capital more productively. In practice they seem to make money by squeezing workers, taxpayers, investors and even their own customers (some of whom seem content to squeezed - CalPERs, for instance).
So explain, in your own words, then, how you think Ares is more efficiently allocating capital now that they're in charge of GC.
Because it sure seems to me that all they are doing is squeezing their employees and vendors ever harder as per the Bain "how to run a company into the ground" handbook.
And why wouldn't you attribute it to incompetence, rather than malice?
A successful company is worth vastly more than a destroyed one, or one that has had its assets stripped.
The ideal LBO is one in which you take an undervalued company private, maximize its operations, and then spin it back out at a time when you can achieve maximum return (eg when the market is high).
If Guitar Center is such an amazing business, how did they end up in a shark's mouth to begin with? It's precisely because they were a poorly run business that they were consumed by Bain. If Bain sells pieces of the business, who does that harm exactly? If Bain maximizes profitability and spins GC back out, who does that harm? Fired employees? Well it's business, not charity, nobody is entitled to a job; most businesses exist to generate a profit, not employ people. I find that most people dislike that fact, however that's how every economy works, on profit not charity (which derives from having earned a profit in the first place).
Not to mention that even if you were right, and a company is extremely valuable and all Bain does is destroy good companies, that opens up vast opportunities for good competitors to grow and hire new employees.
Your response might be: and how about the employees of said destroyed company? Sure, and how about the employees of a million businesses that go under every year due to incompetence, we should obviously outlaw bad business operators and entrepreneurs. If you're an employee of any company, anywhere, you're assuming risk of employment, that your employer may go under, weaken, or restructure. There's no avoiding that risk.
Which is why we have off-shoring, and stagnant or dropping real income for that segment of the population that still has a job.
Are these good things? Is it a good thing when a private equity investor starts stomping around your startup demanding you treat your hires like exploitable assets and not like friends or colleagues you respect?
Off-shoring is a wonderful example of private equity types reducing global inequality, helping the poor, and helping consumers. It's true that the wealthy Americans who formerly collected rents due to an accident of their birth might not be happy about it, but so what?
Real income is rising, BTW. It's only real wages (i.e. income excluding benefits) in the US which have not due to a shift of comp from wages to non-wage benefits (the total is also rising).
>Off-shoring is a wonderful example of private equity types reducing global inequality
Pitting third world workers against first world workers isn't good for either of them in the long run.
The same threat that hangs over US workers (we will offshore your job if you unionize and demand higher wages) actually hangs over 3rd world workers too (we will reshore your job if you unionize and demand higher wage).
It's a win/win situation for private equity though.
> It's true that the wealthy Americans who formerly collected rents
Wages are rents now are they? That's doubleplus good doublethink.
>Real income is rising
Median incomes are in decline.
>shift of comp from wages to non-wage benefits
...if you do some creative accounting on healthcare costs. Theoretically you might be getting $150,000 worth of benefits if your company insurance pays for your appendectomy. You and I both know that those absurd prices only really apply to the uninsured.
>Wages are rents now are they? That's doubleplus good doublethink.
I'm born to the middle class in Norway. I have done little productive with my life and yet I enjoy better personal financials than 95% of the world's working population. After I'm done with my education I could go into unemployment and be even better off. All because of where I was born. I'm just collecting on the rest of the world's wealth because... Norwegian passport. I am clearly collecting rent.
>Pitting third world workers against first world workers isn't good for either of them in the long run.
>The same threat that hangs over US workers (we will offshore your job if you unionize and demand higher wages) actually hangs over 3rd world workers too (we will reshore your job if you unionize and demand higher wage).
Unionisation's purpose is to increase workers' bargaining power and thus change the wealth distribution in favour of workers. 3rd world workers' problem is that there isn't all that much wealth to be redistributed. 3rd world workers have more to gain from the industrialization of their countries than from unionisation. Your emphasis on the different factors is way off. Eventually we will need international unions to deal with mobile multinationals, though, but it doesn't make sense as long as the income inequalities across borders are as high as they are.
The rent captured by us workers is the price delta between a competitive market and one with barriers to trade. Only part of their wage is rent - if deepika earns 10k rs/month and Danielle earns 100k rs, the rent is 90k.
As for income (not wages, which is a subse of income), data is easily googleable.
Your equation leaves out the technological contribution to making the jobs possible in the first place; the innovation, the science / R&D, etc.
The rent is not 90k in that case. The rent is negative, in favor of the US; the US economy has benefited most other countries far more than those countries have benefited it. Most of the world gets a vast free rider benefit from what the US economy accomplished in the last ~140 years.
It's far from clear that the rent would be negative. It's not as if Danielle costs 10x what Deepika costs simply due to the fact that Danielle pays a few hundred rs/month to fund the NSF/NIH/DOD science orgs. Could you justify this claim?
The fact that the US benefits most other countries a lot (primarily due to trade) doesn't mean that anyone collects a rent.
You are correct that all models are imperfect, and you can compute second order corrections to my sketch of rents (e.g. subtract overhead for offshore operation).
None of this changes the conclusion that Deepika (a real person and a friend of mine, albeit not named deepika) has escaped poverty thanks to her job at a call center. Based on our previous conversations I know you dont consider her as valuable as a hypothetical american (ugh, dirty foreigners with animal gods and spicy foods), but that's simply a normative difference.
Not all off-shoring is the same. Some of it moves labor from sustainable economies to corrupt ones, and some of it uses slave labor. Neither of those is a net positive for global equality.
I'd have to believe that a very small percentage of off-shoring from first world nations (economically speaking) ends up in classically corrupt countries.
Most labor off-shoring from the US has not gone to corrupt countries (if we're talking about corrupt being Sudan, Venezuela, Zimbabwe, Somalia, etc).
Most of it has gone to India, Mexico, China, Philippines, Vietnam, etc. Rising, former third world nations. US companies obviously don't like to off-shore to countries like Sudan because those countries are neither safe nor stable for investment or operations. It does a company no good to build a factory in Somalia if it's just going to be arbitrarily nationalized or destroyed.
I wasn't even thinking of Somalia and Sudan, which aren't quite even states in all aspects, let alone corrupt ones.
The ones you mention have all problems with corruption, to the point that as a Westerner doing business there you have to be aware of it.
Certain parts and certain businesses are worse off than others, of course, and for example the textile industry which is probably the most discussed and studied, have had huge problems with everything from organized crime to outright slave labor.
A general statement that off-shoring helps poor people is simply too easy to find counter examples to.
a) Off-shoring is a consequence of poorly thought out and even more poorly enforced tax-laws, not private equity firms.
b) If you have a private equity investor stomping around your startup, it's because you solicited their investment. If you didn't want it, don't take the money. Simple.
a) Private equity has always pushed for off-shoring and for a favourable tax culture. This is only a government failure to the extent that government hasn't resisted lobbying efforts from the PEs.
b) So you're saying founders have a choice between accepting bullying or being starved of funding? Perhaps that's not the positive argument for PE it might appear to be.
The reality is that PE culture vampirises and kills real businesses and real affluence. It's only investment in the most toxic and predatory sense.
First, people keep saying "private equity" - most investment in the US is private equity (eg every time an angel invests into a company, it's a private equity investment).
I will assume what is being referred to here, is LBO or more aggressive acquisition type firms like Bain.
The parent is right however, if Bain comes knocking on your private business, it's up to you as to whether you take their money. They do not use force to make you take their money or terms. I don't think the parent is making an argument in favor of these companies being saints, rather, that they function on a voluntary basis.
I am unsure how someone might think lobbyists don't generate value. With their lobbying they convert causes which can't be easily utilised in the democratic process to be more addressable (which means: can be targeted by polarising groups in either gov or opposition)
They do extend the capacity of democracies dramatically.
eg: Nobody linked mahogany with dying rainforests before Greenpeace.
You're confusing lobbying with political activity. Greenpeace's power comes through citizens, advertising, and information, not lobbyists. They have 250,000 members in the US and are widely known and quoted. But last year they spent only $30k on lobbying out of the $3.2 billion spent, or less than 0.001% of the total.
I have thought this recently. The people who get richest often are the ones fucking up things.
The oil industry for example is making a mess of the environment, but many people rich. Like wise the guy who invented tetra packs is rich, but what a waste - a plastic carton for every litre of milk? Better off when we were recycling glass.
No. I'm guessing you haven't either, since no one can. Such confidence in the market. Is/was the market price of Thalidomide, asbestos and cigarettes also perfect?
edit: I'm not saying that Tetrapaks will turn out to be terrible, just pointing out that things are priced with complete ignorance of their eventual externalities.
And how is the cost of the plastic fragments in the ocean factored in in this example? It won't be zero in the long run.
a person who performs certain actions under legal authority, in particular.
North American:
an official in a court of law who keeps order, looks after prisoners, etc.
British:
a sheriff's officer who executes writs and processes and carries out distraints and arrests.
It would seem that just by that definition, they serve a purpose. Are we looking at different definitions, perhaps
> And what does a world with less insurance look like? Insurance lets people trade a small amount of money for protection against a loss of a life-ruining amount of money.
In terms of personal insurance, a world with less insurance looks like a place where people don't suffer just for the small risk of such a loss.
Catastrophic events such as fire and health could be dealt with more sympathetically by society rather than being handled by a profit-making industry that only really wants to help people who are rich enough.
By charging premiums below market risk valuation, the program has encouraged building in vulnerable areas. This has led to destruction of resources and government transfers to the rich people in a position to own coastal property.
I think there is an argument to be made that pretty much the entire health insurance industry is a bullshit industry. It's led to the price of medical care spiralling absurdly high; it spends a lot of the money it siphons out of the process on getting lawmakers to resist removing it from the equation entirely. And when that catastrophic accident or illness comes they will find every excuse they can to avoid paying out.
I'll admit I'm not familiar with healthcare in Europe, but surely there are people whose job it is to estimate the cost of providing healthcare and estimate the probability of certain health events occurring.
Worth noting, my girlfriend is a Neurologist. She and her colleagues say if you have anything serious wrong with you, go to the public healthcare system. You will probably have to wait longer, but you will get the treatment the doctors want you to have.
When the same doctors have to deal with private patients (many doctors have both private and public patients here) then its basically a battle with the insurance companies trying to justify why they should pay for the better drugs.
So you have doctors time being wasted on bureaucracy and form filling on one side (they would rather be treating patients), an insurance company person wasting time on the other side. Doctors time isn't cheap. I doubt actuaries are either. It seems blatantly obvious to me that the system without that aspect to it is way superior.
Sure you do. Your insurance premiums are your taxes. An actuary had to figure out how much revenue the state healthcare system has to bring in to be stable.
Well unlike insurance premiums, we don't get a choice in paying taxes. And the poor who don't have the money to pay taxes are still covered. So while what you say is true in one respect, its not really the same.
And it has been well documented that the American system is very inefficient compared to Europes.
Having worked as an actuary who prices insurance, you are wrong. Most clients already know what they want there prices to be. It is is common to calculate insurance rates based on statistics then hit everything by a constant varying anywhere from .5 to 2 to get the rates to be competitive with the market. It's all about the government mandated signature.
Marketing/advertising is a bullshit job 99% of the time (the only time it isn't is when the product you are marketing is not well known and is a better option for some people than a competitor's product).
The current HN title: “So many people spend their working lives doing jobs they think are unnecessary.”
It's about people who think THEIR OWN jobs are unnecessary. The author seems to spend half his time repeating this on comments sections, even when the very titles make it clear. Because people give the least charitable (and incorrect) interpretations.
Weeel now. As an example Finland - while there is a fairly functional state paid health service, most affluent people take the health insurance anyway and go to private clinics for day-to-day needs to avoid the public queues. Most eployees have a compulsory medical coverage by the employers, which is a bought service from the private clinics. Thus the medical scene is a bit more complex than "state pays it all". It can require quite a bit of effort to get proper medical attention in the public side unless one is ill in a critical, easy-to-diagnose form. Best places in the world to have a cancer or such though, since the state pays most of the treatment (thus Breaking Bad creates quite strong cultural dissonance initially).
In Finland, there's not really a compulsory medical coverage by employers. The only compulsory part is planning and processes to prevent work-related health hazards and harms, and to protect and advance workplace safety, ability to work and health. (See law 2001/1383)
So, some paperwork is mandatory, no actual health care.
The reason many employers voluntarily provide an actual health insurance (or simply reimburse private-sector medical costs directly) is that it is one of the few tax-free benefits that employers can give to people, so it works efficiently as an additional compensation. And of course, because employee absences are costly, it makes good sense to try to keep them in good health.
The public sector health care does practically nothing in terms of preventive health care for people between 25-65 and in employment (except for maternity-related things). This is left to employers.
"So, some paperwork is mandatory, no actual health care."
The way the law is brought to action is that the private clinics have specific service tiers which they offer to employers, of which even the basic one covers consultation by a general practitioner. The easiest way for employers to fulfill the letter of the law is to buy the service.
Which means that working adults seldom tend to the public services unless they are really ill, which means more business for the private clinics and increases the appeal of a health insurance (it's easier).
This is getting really obscure for this forum, but as a reference:
The specific law is
I was founder in a SW startup, and those of us who had a <15 % minority share were technically employees for whom the mandatory services had to be arranged. What it meant was that there was a paper that the managing director had to sign, and some small amount of money to pay to KELA (the public insurer). There was no occupational doctor or care service assigned.
Yes, this is obscure for this forum (perhaps that's why some people downvoted the previous comment) but just for the note, in Finland the employer is not really required to buy any services from private clinics. The legal requirement is for existence of a preventive plan, and a specification for what other services the plan covers. It's okay by law if the coverage effectively evaluates to nil, and employees just are off to the public system's queue.
I think that differs quite a bit by country. At least in Denmark it's administered in a considerably different manner, more like any other public spending that decides on priorities and allocates resources. Some parts of it do have actuarial elements that parallel what an insurance company would do (pooling risks across the population), but many don't. The cost of many things is well known in advance and has little uncertainty (especially when the whole country is taken in aggregate), and it's just a public-health choice whether to pay for it or not. Routine childhood vaccinations are a clear example, which are just budgeted as a public-health measure, like water purification or whatever. Hospitals have an element of risk-pooling when individual patients are looked at, but at the public level are run more like fire departments or police departments, which also have an element of risk pooling. I guess you could argue that fire departments are really some kind of state-administered fire-response-insurance system, but I'm not aware of that being a common approach. Data and statistics and people to look at them are still needed though, of course, but they are looking at more "real" problems, like which procedures best improve morbidity-adjusted life expectancy.
I know in some other countries, like Germany, it is set up much more closely to insurance, in the sense that procedures have prices, are billed out to patients, who are covered by insurance plans that reimburse patients for costs, etc., in which case I imagine the bureaucracy is much more insurance-like.
The dynamics of the financial incentives involved are a bit different with goverment provided health care and private clinics funded through medical insurance.
Private clinics which are the main receivers of insurance money are often owned by the doctors. Thus, they have an incentive to over-charge, over diagnose and run expensive labs whenever they can. I'm not saying it happens, just that the incentive is there. Government provided healthcare offers no financial incentives for practicioners to over-diagnose - on the contrary this system then incentivizes to be as prudish as possible with the public resources.
I'm not saying one or the other is better or worse, just that they are not equal in every way.
Much of Europe has mandatory public health insurance if you work.
It also has voluntary private health insurance.
What you probably are referring to is that USA has not private health insurance at all.
In the US only your employer could give you insurance, so it is not personal and private, but collective, if you try to do on your own it is prohibitively expensive.
The entire asset management industry is a candidate for the bullshit job title. Within the equity asset class for example, aggregate performance is worse than passive investments and there is ample evidence that substantially all managers are unable to actually provide the service they are selling.
As an industry, it effectively taxes savings and distributes those taxes to the employees within the industry, sometimes as eye watering salaries and bonuses.
One may argue that the consumer is free to choose not to consume the service, but the reality is that most countries have mandated retirement savings mechanisms that efficiently funnel employee pensions and savings into the industry.
That's a very interesting assertion. Couldn't it be that the active asset management industry is underperforming because there is so much competition that any alpha is nullified by cost of research and operation?
It could be that if everyone only invested passively, then there would be untapped alpha in the market which would lead to greater profits to the active asset management industry. This in turn would lead to more active management firms leading to an equilibrium where alpha is nullified.
Not an expert on economics. Just saying this form of bullshit may be vital to the system.
>"[..]but the reality is that most countries have mandated retirement savings mechanisms that efficiently funnel employee pensions and savings into the industry."
I wouldn't quite use the word mandated. But at least in the case where I am currently, South Africa, all sorts of financial instruments such as the ones you mention, are heavily "pushed" by government via various means. I.e. tax-exemption benefits, incentivizing insurance/financial brokers into pushing by making it a regulated license industry (protected status), and plain out funding the industry by using it to give government employees plushy "retirement packages" in the form of these instruments.
It's such a sad state of affairs (at least in this small subset of discussion). I've actually been wondering about it quite a lot recently. While I watch perfectly smart, educated individuals being effectively "tricked" into putting huge amounts of their monthly earnings to save up for "retirement" because it's "tax-exempt". Ironically, all those savings get taxed as "income" anyways when they withdraw from it in retirement. Wait, it's not funny.
Meanwhile, whilst they are busy being coaxed into this scheme due to "tax exemption" benefits, they're paying mounds of interest on car and home loans that they could pay off ridiculously sooner. Those loans that are constantly funding financial institutions? You could argue that it's another way in which the government is "funneling" capital into it.
A critical assumption in that view is that the returns on actively and passively managed funds are independent. Are they, or are the passive funds freeriding on the work of the active funds?
They are certainly not independent given they are allocating between the same underlying investments, but I fail to see how they are freeriding given the data.
Many have looked at this and presented the data far more eloquently than I could:
Wow, I'm surprised to see a comment so critical of Venture Capitalists on HN. But I guess it's fair: The VC industry as a whole badly underperforms the S&P index on a risk-adjusted basis. Or aren't those the asset managers you were talking about?
I read this as a rant from someone saying technology hasn't come far enough, but spent decades of his own time not doing anything about improving technology for society himself. He sounds like a consumer, complaining about the service he is receiving. The fact that he could have lived his bohemic lifestyle shielded from this so long is evidence of how well it has been working. There is certainly a problem with inefficiency, but usually that is driven by the humans inside of an organisation, people, like him, who get comfortable with their position and who only think about their here and now and not about the long term impact on themselves and society in general. Now, at this age, he comes up with theories and ideas of that sounds like that of a student with a naive understanding of the world, with 'better' ways of doing things and blaming 'the powers out there' on the problems, it's no wonder that he gets widespread support from the student age populations of social networks.
Instead of asking ourselves which particular jobs are "bullshit" and which are not, maybe we should ask why we need or want "jobs" at all. If every citizen received some minimum universal basic income, what might we do with our time instead of going to jobs we hate?
I think the point might be that we've reached a state of technological progress where many of the functions of a modern civilization can be handled by a very few people. Maybe it's time to redefine what we mean by "work" and why we do it.
>"If every citizen received some minimum universal basic income, what might we do with our time instead of going to jobs we hate?"
I think you need to quantify what you mean by that. It seems that every time I hear this UBI idea being defended with a sentence similar to the one you made, the tone set implies that something "beneficial" will happen that does not because they go do jobs they "hate".
I.e. If we free ourselves from going to work we will... And then insert anything from "do art", "be creative", "come up with novel ways to improve the world", or something of the like.
(Feel free to correct me there, but that seems to be the implicit argument/idea behind that sentence you made)
> If every citizen received some minimum universal basic income, what might we do with our time instead of going to jobs we hate?
We might do amazing things. Then again, we might have a world where nobody scrubs toilets and lots of people make lousy paintings.
"What do I want to make/do?" and "what produces value for others?" are not always in sync. Having to sell your labor means there must be at least some link between supply and demand.
Perhaps we will just find that the wages paid for scrubbing toilets will increase, till we find that people are indeed willing to scrub toilets. Why shouldn't a job of that sort be well-compensated?
Universal basic income doesn't intrinsically mean less work being done. It just means different leverage in the negotiation process.
But it does mean that it's much easier for a person not to do anything that benefits others. There would certainly be people who say "I can get drinking money without working" and do nothing but drink. If you need to work to eat, it gives you some incentive to sober up.
I think people have a natural need to work and contribute things, but we also have laziness tugging at us. Enabling someone to waste their life is not doing them a favor; it impoverishes them in a way that lacking money alone cannot.
Wouldn't a UBI simply be inflationary? That is, rather than making 0 you make 1500 (say). But since everybody is making 1500, then it would be the same as making 0 again.
So unless we have strict blocks on pricing things, UBI seems nonsensical.
I've heard this argument several times before, but I've never understood the reasoning behind it. No matter how you look at it, a basic income is redistribution of wealth. If we finance a basic income by just printing money, then yes it would be inflationary, and the value of the basic income, along with the currency as a whole, would depreciate. But it certainly wouldn't be eliminated, and wealth would have been redistributed.
Printing money isn't the only way to finance a basic income, however. A much more sane approach is through effectivization, by eliminating bullshit jobs and (most) existing means-tested benefits, as well as increased taxation. There's nothing inflationary about this approach.
It doesn't work that way. How could it possibly work that way? That would mean that the first item you buy each pay period would cost $1500 + its old price, and all other items were normally priced. Perhaps prices for all goods would rise, but you're still able to buy things, unlike the "making 0" scenario.
At the very least, it skews peoples' motivations for work. I.e. Do nothing and get 1500, or work as a low-wage say woodcutter/garbage man, and get 1600. You're effectively doing a shitty 9-5 job so you can get 100 (or whatever $X) more than the guy next door doing nothing all day.
People say that's liberating and "equality" for all, buy I say it's completely the opposite and directly unfair to a lot of people.
And now that I re-read your post about it being an inflationary scenario, it makes more sense. All of a sudden, you have a reduction in individuals willing to do hard/hateful labor for a small amount more than basic income. This reduces their supply, and thus the salaries go up. Essentially, it sounds like it would make 1500 the new 0 as you put it. Not sure where to follow that train of thought further, though.
There is some reduction in incentive to work, but the idea is that most people will still want more money so they'll keep working.
Also you're assuming people have the right incentives today. Is working two minimum wage jobs to make ends meet really what you want people to do?
This is really about changing the relative negotiating power between employers and employees. Having some fallback income makes it easier to take time off to go to school, start a business, or find a better job. Also it goes right back into the economy as revenue for some business, so it's hard to see how it can be bad for business.
Yes, shitty jobs would actually pay well. That's hardly unfair is it? The labour market would become an actual free market, where prices are properly determined by supply and demand, not by "motivation for work", more aptly known as wage slavery.
I can't say I'm surprised and I much agree with this. I've held many positions in both the private and public sector. While the public sector was always inefficient (honestly it was significantly worse than I pictured before starting...far far worse like you could easily eliminate hundreds of jobs without impact worse) private sector is pretty bad in many places as well.
It's also amazing what networking can do to get around many processes that people normally go through which kinda shows how worthless they are. So many times I've been told something that would take weeks or months ended up taking days or hours because I knew someone who could put me on "the rush list" which typically bypassed much of what was required in the first place.
> While the public sector was always inefficient (honestly it was significantly worse than I pictured before starting...far far worse like you could easily eliminate hundreds of jobs without impact worse) private sector is pretty bad in many places as well.
I've worked in a public sector department that was run like a business. It was a contact centre that provided information and assistance with various government functions, but to do so it, it competed with private sector providers at open tender for the business of those various government departments.
Of course, it had a massive price advantage, as it was a) small and focused and b) not required to turn a profit.
That aside, it was run like a business, because if any customers were significantly displeased, the clients could easily move to another provider. So the focus on quality was high.
It ultimately provided a quality service to users, cheaply. But, and this was the important takeaway for me, the person running it burned all of his political capital protecting this highly performant section of a ministry from interference from other mandarins within the ministry.
He was a good man, and he expended his career protecting efficiency in the midst of public sector "meh".
Anyway, my long winded point is that public sector isn't inherently inefficient, and private sector isn't inherently efficient. Any sufficiently large organisation sprouts a self-sustaining bureaucracy. Public or private. In my mind, it's merely correlation that public sector organisations are typically inefficient. The causation is organisational complexity (that is, a large strata of middle managers)
Graeber's argument in the book is that businesses are actually run like the government, ie are bureaucratic institutions (that pretend to be "markets"). He has an interesting story about how they were modelled on the post office originally, when large businesses arose in the late nineteenth century.
In Europe, companies were originally gifts of a private trading monopoly made by a monarch. The Post Office model happened a lot later.
There should be more of a distinction between "efficient" used to mean "gets things done effectively and invents new and clever ways to get things done while saving everyone time and money", and the capitalist meaning of "accumulates profits by screwing everyone except senior management and perhaps the stockholders."
It's perfectly possible for the latter kind of "efficient" company to be very inefficient in the first sense.
In fact if you have a market with a very limited number of established large players, it's pretty much the default.
> Any sufficiently large organisation sprouts a self-sustaining bureaucracy. Public or private.
I agree with this. I also think there's an inescapable analogy here with software projects - I think people are just really bad at handling large amounts of complexity. In software, large projects are notorious for high failure rates, in the same way that large organisations seem to collapse under their own weight. We don't see able to administer or manage on a large scale effectively.
This is just thinking out loud, but the conclusion I draw from this analogy is that small focused projects and small focused teams work best. Don't try to create a behemoth. Hence the effectiveness of startups and the UNIX/Pythonic way of keeping things simple.
I wonder how much of that "interference" was the other ministers getting tapped by their private industry friends trying to do something about the government competition.
It may have been that, but from where I sat, most of it appeared to be fiefdom disputes. For example, the head of IT was displeased with this unit because it didn't use Citrix, his mandated solution, for all its needs.
Why? Because it didn't work. Especially not when they tried to make 100 people use Citrix over a 10Mbit connection to servers situated on another _island_.
Even worse, we were allowed to install Firefox, gasp (This was back in the days when IE6 was the go-to corporate browser). Such untried and unproven software! But we had a killer argument for tabs, so we got it.
But it earned us the enmity of a reasonably powerful bureaucrat in head office.
> Anyway, my long winded point is that public sector isn't inherently inefficient, and private sector isn't inherently efficient. Any sufficiently large organisation sprouts a self-sustaining bureaucracy.
I completely agree; the public sector part I was in is probably a bad example as it's probably some of the worst places for bureaucracy and politics. It was incredibly difficult for anyone who wants to use tax dollars wisely to make headway.
> It's also amazing what networking can do to get around many processes that people normally go through which kinda shows how worthless they are. So many times I've been told something that would take weeks or months ended up taking days or hours because I knew someone who could put me on "the rush list" which typically bypassed much of what was required in the first place.
Thus perfectly illustrating the concept of privilege.
Or minutes, seconds.
Simple example. Bank transfers. Take a few days. People actually are involved to push a freaking button in the US.
Takes <1s in reality. Takes <1s in Germany because it's enforced by law that operations like that cannot be artificially made longer.
Here's another. Getting a work visa to the USA.
Takes about 6 month, average. There is no background check or what not. Nothing more than a 5 minutes interview (non-exagerated - sometimes it's in fact faster) with a real person and someone to push the print button in the automated printing facility.
5 minutes, made into 6 month...
"in 1930, economist John Maynard Keynes predicted that by the end of the century technology would have advanced sufficiently that in countries such as the UK and the US we’d be on 15-hour weeks. “In technological terms, we are quite capable of this. And yet it didn’t happen. Instead, technology has been marshalled, if anything, to figure out ways to make us all work more. Huge swaths of people, in Europe and North America in particular, spend their entire working lives performing tasks they believe to be unnecessary."
Interestingly enough, for most white-collar professions, actual work probably takes about 15-20 hours a week. The rest of the time is spent socializing with coworkers, navigating massive corporate bureaucracies, browsing the web, and so on.
My takeaway from the article and also based on personal experiences is that governments have shielded themselves from automation. There's just insane fat wherever you look
I'd go as far to say that this isnt only a problem in governmental institutions but also in many private companies.
Since employment is the key growth factor/number that is regarded (you need money to live), it is vitally important to make sure companies will hire as many people as possible, thus giving benefits going into that direction.
So even if you sit on your butt browsing HN, imgur, what not all day long (which many do), you'll get paid at the end of the month, and that's "all that matters".
Seems to be rather inefficient use of time, use of life.
David Graeber pointed out on his article "The answer clearly isn’t economic: it’s moral and political"
I don't agree. The answer is strictly economic. There are bullshit jobs just because people want to amass fortunes. The problem is not to have a guy working as a "legal consultant" or as a "ska drummer" but to have thousands of them doing the same thing. There's a point when a 101 legal consultant adds no value, but the job still exits. Why? because companies in that industry need to grow and to do so they expand beyond the target to whom they add value. This is it, they expand where the service is not actually needed.
So services/products expanded to targets to whom they add no value is when bullshit jobs are created, and the reason behind this is just to make more money instead of solving problems to the world.
I live in Sweden and right now we are automating the service industry as well.
You order fast food from a touch screen, you buy your train tickets from a machine and the supermarket cashier is being replaced with a self-checkout.
Meanwhile I still have about 50+ working hours every week. I pay about 65% of the money I make in tax so the people that were laid off through service automation can receive unemployment benefits.
I think there is room for improvement within this economic system.
However, the good part with buying train tickets from a machine is that the machine always knows your local language (in this case, Swedish, and English, and possibly a variety of other languages). This is not necessarily true with low-paid service workers. I'm pretty happy to buy my Arlanda Express tickets from a machine. You'd never have enough service booths if they had to have people in them.
Honest in places, but overlooks the Tyler Durdens who have a 'rapscallion' element to their character and behind the front of work, they dutifully play to make the day go by quicker. Also see: dossing.
The real problem here is complexity - people don't understand what is the goal of what they do, and often there really is no goal because their bosses do not understand the system too.
Maybe we should start treating law and bylaws as code and fight the complexity with decoupling, encapsulation, no side effects, etc?
That would presume we are all collectively interested in reducing complexity and work. Too often these complexities exist to benefit a small minority at the expense of the majority. For example: http://techcrunch.com/2013/03/27/turbotax-maker-funnels-mill...
Agreed - this will not be that easy to fix, but still if we want to fix it than we need to think about reducing the complexity.
I have also a very tentative idea that this might actually lead for more democratic organizations - because removing the inefficiencies that come from the complexity will bring a lot of advantage for the companies that would do it - and this will require more creative thinking and good will from everyone in the organization. This is just like science would not thrive in a too autocratic institution - so the universities had a lot more internal democracy than for example production companies. And today production companies will have the same need for creativity and good will as the universities had in the past.
Form filling is like a muscle you have to flex. If you insulate yourself from the well oiled machine of the postal system for too long, it has a habit of reminding you of its presence. Usually this reminder comes when you least expect it. When you have a caffeine headache, when you cut down the enormous tree in the garden, when you've finished a Sudoku puzzle, or when you've just finished a lofty tome ― the letter will arrive when you have brain fog, and you better be prepared. This is why we have 'busy body' types who have nothing better to do than play with the postal system. They fill out those surveys you get to bulk up broadsheet newspapers, and send away for competitions. Their form filling muscle will not be allowed to atrophy.
An interesting thing to ponder is how people employed in imminently-automatable jobs will react. Bearing in mind that no one can openly oppose automation when it makes business sense. So barring retraining to a still-needed skill, what might they do instead? I feel like there is some interesting application of game theory to be had here.
Here's a possible cure for user-facing Government bureaucracy - you should never have to tell the Government something it already knows. This requires that government agencies get their data interconnection act together. Most companies already do this.
I found very little meat in that article... Right when I had been excited about points that seemed like they were about to be made, the article unfurled into a biography and promotion of Graeber's next book :/
The interesting point that no one is discussing here is his assertion that the research program was changed in reaction to the hippies, to focus on tools of social control instead of ways to reduce time in wage labor.
The way I understand it is this (sorry,a bit long winded):
The world is run by gigantic bureaucracies and owners of capital - who all value continuity and predictability above all else. Given that the world has historically been a madhouse of crazy, and most of us are doing materially better than before, it's hard to pinpoint exactly what would be wrong with these priorities. "May you live in interesting times" is a curse, and for a good reason.
Sadly, a specific vehicle of stability and predictability is disengaging most adults from the majority of their waking hours. After the maslovian needs of food, sex and shelter are fullfilled the average 9-5 desk job does not seem to provide in average fulfillment for the higher level needs.
One element of establishing stablity is organizing work in the large scale in industrial taylorian fashion where the labor input of the individual position is predictable. The easiest way to do this is to divide the work of the organization to small enough pieces so that individual work responsibilities are easy to communicate, transfer and, perhaps even more important, measure. Small, piecemeal duties are often felt as non-important since they are so simple to perform and thus not mentally fulfilling.
The three stages of engagement from best to worst are commitment, compliance, conflict - most employers are satisfied by compliance, and one of the easiest ways to statistically enforce compliance is through observing the work directly or through reports: thus we get the endless reporting. The reason this works even if no-one is reading the reports 24/7 is that most people are extremely uncomfortable with cognitive dissonance of doing one thing and saying the other, and usually align their actions with their reporting.
Thus we get the disengaged, prozac-crunching desk jokey of the early 21st century.
I think the best leaders recognize the critical difference between commitment and compliance for organizational output. Thus we get the start-ups "we want only passionate people here" spiel - they aim for organizational commitment from composing the organization from atomic committed individuals. But this does not work in the long run unless the organization culture as a whole is dedicated to maintaining commitment. There are various cultural tactics to achieve this. Most of them are about maintaining a team spirit and there are agressive and compassionate ways in which to achieve this. But since it's about culture and human condition I'm not sure if there are any text-book approaches to maximizing organizational commitment unless one engages in full-scale brain washing as employed by cults and historically by some states.
Since there is no ethically recognized textbook-standardizable sure-fire "commitment tactic" it is understandable to me most choose the "compliance tactic".
I don't believe these are necessarily conscious choices, but rather a product of cultural evolution of various industrial management memes.
In my current employment, the environment provided me doesn't exactly feed commitment, but it at least marginally allows for it. We are soon moving office and the new environment is definitely one of those "the best you can hope for its compliance" type environments. But I have a hard time trying to tell my boss that without incriminating myself.
And what does a world with less insurance look like? Insurance lets people trade a small amount of money for protection against a loss of a life-ruining amount of money. Without health insurance or fire insurance, people have to save up as much money as they can in the case of a catastrophic accident which they probably won't have, and possibly declining to spend that money on important things like higher education, etc. And when people are underinsured, they're constantly in a state of baseline anxiety, worry about "what ifs."
Is that the world this author wants to live in? One where he's constantly worrying about what might happen if he gets sick? That's not a world I want.